Daily Market Technicals

The move higher continued for the euro on Tuesday with it making fresh 2 month highs by 3 pips. Immediate bullish focus remains on retests of the 2014 high with a break above then seeing focus shift sharply higher to the $1.4247 monthly high from Oct 2011. Bears now need a close below the $1.3905 previous resistance to ease the bullish pressure and a close below the 21-DMA to shift focus back to retests of last week’s $1.3771 low
RES 4: $1.4247 Monthly high Oct 27 2011
RES 3: $1.3977 21 week upper Bollinger band
RES 2: $1.3967 2014 high Mar 13
RES 1: $1.3951 High May 6
LPRICE: $1.3925
SUP 1: $1.3905 Monthly high Apr 11 now support
SUP 2: $1.3889 High May 1 now support
SUP 3: $1.3869 Hourly support May 5 & 6
SUP 4: $1.3845 21-DMA

The move to fresh 2014 and 5 year highs overnight reconfirmed bullish focus and sees bulls now initially targeting the $1.7042 Aug 5 2009 high. Initial support is now noted at the previous $1.6919 2014 high set last week with bears needing a close below this level to ease the bullish pressure. Overall, bears look for a close below the 21-DMA to end bullish hopes and shift focus back to retests of the longer term rising daily channel base ($1.6672).

RES 4: $1.7516 High Oct 20 2008
RES 3: $1.7107 Low Oct 20 2008
RES 2: $1.7042 2009 high Aug 5
RES 1: $1.6996 2014 high May 6
LPRICE: $1.6974
SUP 1: $1.6919 High May 1 now support
SUP 2: $1.6853 Low May 5
SUP 3: $1.6821 Low May 2, 21-DMA
SUP 4: $1.6777 Low Apr 28

The Y101.86 support level finally gave way overnight. Bearish pressure is dominating and focus has shifted to the Y100.75-101.32 region with the key 200-DMA noted at Y101.06. Bulls now need a close back above the previous Y101.86 support which is now seen as initial resistance to ease the current bearish pressure.  Overall a close above Y102.36 remains needed to end bearish hopes and shift focus back to the Y102.87-103.10 region.

RES 4: Y102.87 100-DMA
RES 3: Y102.36 Hourly resistance May 2, 55-DMA
RES 2: Y102.19 Hourly resistance May 5, 21-DMA
RES 1: Y101.86 Previous daily low now resistance
LPRICE: Y101.57
SUP 1: Y101.48 21 day lower Bollinger band
SUP 2: Y101.32 Low Apr 10
SUP 3: Y101.21 Low Mar 14
SUP 4: Y101.06 200-DMA

EUR/JPY continues to oscillate around the triangle base (Y141.53) with the 100-DMA just below at Y141.31. Bearish pressure is currently dominating with a break lower favoured until a close above Y142.08 is seen. Bears look for a close below Y140.99 to confirm a break to the downside with immediate focus then shifting to the Y139.96-140.02 region. Bulls need a close above Y142.08 to ease the current bearish pressure and hint at a topside break

RES 4: Y142.65 Triangle top off Dec monthly high
RES 3: Y142.47 High Apr 29
RES 2: Y142.08 High May 6
RES 1: Y141.74 Hourly resistance May 7
LPRICE: Y141.44
SUP 1: Y140.99 Low Apr 28
SUP 2: Y140.02 50.0% Fibonacci 136.28-143.77
SUP 3: Y139.96 Low Mar 28
SUP 4: Y139.14 61.8% Fibonacci 136.28-143.77

After having failed at the 21-DMA on Monday the correction lower marginally traded at fresh 3 month lows before pausing just short of the Gbp0.8191 Feb 28 low. Bulls continue to look for a close above the 21-DMA to confirm an easing of bearish pressure, whereas a close above Gbp0.8257 is needed to hint at further topside and shift immediate focus to the 55 & 100-DMA’s. While Gbp0.8231-57 caps, bears now target retests of the 2014 low.

RES 4: Gbp0.8275 100-DMA
RES 3: Gbp0.8270 55-DMA
RES 2: Gbp0.8257 High Apr 29
RES 1: Gbp0.8231 21-DMA
LPRICE: Gbp0.8200
SUP 1: Gbp0.8191 Low Feb 28, 21 day lower Bollinger band
SUP 2: Gbp0.8164 21 week lower Bollinger band
SUP 3: Gbp0.8158 2014 Low Feb 17
SUP 4: Gbp0.8085 2013 Low Jan 3