EUR/USD bounced from ahead of the 21-DMA, only to remain capped ahead of the key $1.3863 resistance level O/N. Bulls continue to look for a close above $1.3863 to end bearish hopes and shift focus higher to the $1.3905-67 region. While $1.3863 caps, bears continue to look for a close below $1.3779 to confirm a break of the 21-DMA and see focus shift to the $1.3673-1.3722 region where the 100-DMA and Fibonacci supports are located.
RES 4: $1.3948 High Mar 17
RES 3: $1.3905 High Apr 11
RES 2: $1.3890 21 day upper Bollinger band
RES 1: $1.3863 High Apr 14
LPRICE: $1.3821
SUP 1: $1.3795 21-DMA
SUP 2: $1.3779 Low Apr 9, 38.2% Fibonacci 1.3479-1.3967, 55-DMA
SUP 3: $1.3722 50.0% Fibonacci 1.3479-1.3967, 100-DMA
SUP 4: $1.3673 Low Apr 4
After having failed at the 2014 high, cable headed lower, closing below the short term daily rising channel base and combined with daily tech studies that remain O/B, cracks are starting to appear in the up-trend. Bears now need to see a close below the $1.6749 support to hint at a deeper correction that targets the long term rising daily channel base. Bulls need the $1.6749 level to hold and fresh 2014 highs to kick start bullish momentum
RES 4: $1.7042 Monthly high Aug 2009
RES 3: $1.6878 Monthly high Nov 16 2009, 21 day upper Bollinger band
RES 2: $1.6842 2014 high Apr 17
RES 1: $1.6804 Hourly resistance Apr 23
LPRICE: $1.6784
SUP 1: $1.6749 High Apr 16 now support
SUP 2: $1.6713 Hourly support April 15 & 16
SUP 3: $1.6659 Low April 15, 55-DMA
SUP 4: $1.6614 Rising daily channel base
USD/JPY is now struggling at the 21-DMA (Y102.57) and dipped below the 55-DMA on Wednesday but failed to close below. Lower highs the past couple of days are starting to make the pair look a little heavy but bears now look for a close below Y102.16 to see immediate focus return to the Y101.86 level and overall focus to the Y100.75-101.46 region. Bulls now look for a close above Y102.72 to kick start bullish momentum and confirm bullish focus.
RES 4: Y103.10 High Apr 8
RES 3: Y102.95 100-DMA
RES 2: Y102.72 High Apr 22
RES 1: Y102.57 Hourly resistance Apr 24
LPRICE: Y102.31
SUP 1: Y102.16 Low Apr 23
SUP 2: Y101.86 Low Apr 17
SUP 3: Y101.46 Rising daily trend line
SUP 4: Y101.32 Low Apr 10
EUR/JPY traded marginally above Y141.96 before heading sharply lower with the resulting bounce ensuring a close above the 100-DMA. Bears need a close below the 100-DMA to relieve the bullish pressure, whereas bulls continue to target a break higher while the 100-DMA supports. The triangle top comes in around Y142.94 with a close above targeting the Y142.15-65 region. The triangle base comes in around Y140.81 with a break lower targeting Feb monthly lows.
RES 4: Y143.79 Monthly high Mar 7
RES 3: Y143.45 High Apr 2
RES 2: Y142.94 Falling Triangle top
RES 1: Y141.99 High Apr 23
LPRICE: Y141.40
SUP 1: Y141.31 100-DMA
SUP 2: Y140.81 Rising Triangle base off Nov monthly low
SUP 3: Y140.02 50.0% Fibonacci 136.28-143.77
SUP 4: Y139.96 Low Mar 28
EUR/GBP has taken its first backward step in the down trend that re-emerged following the Apr 11 failure at the 21-DMA. Wednesday’s bounce relieved the bearish pressure that was targeting the Gbp0.8158-92 region and combined with O/S studies that are looking to correct, could be hinting at a bigger bounce. Bulls now look for a close above the Gbp0.8252 resistance level to end bearish hopes and see the pair targeting the Gbp0.8292-0.8330 region.
RES 4: Gbp0.8292 100-DMA
RES 3: Gbp0.8273 55-DMA, 38.2% Fibonacci 0.8399-0.8198
RES 2: Gbp0.8268 High Apr 16
RES 1: Gbp0.8252 Alternating support/resistance, 21-DMA
LPRICE: Gbp0.8230
SUP 1: Gbp0.8231 Hourly support Apr 24
SUP 2: Gbp0.8198 Low Apr 23
SUP 3: Gbp0.8192 Low Feb 28
SUP 4: Gbp0.8158 2014 Low Feb 17