UBS Morning Adviser

AUDNZD Back In Play
The AUDNZD downtrend resumed overnight, having stalled somewhat over the past month. We have been short the cross in one form or another as a trade recommendation since Feb 1, and we still see scope for further slippage towards 1.10 by year end.

There was a minor shift in rhetoric accompanying the RBNZ’s unchanged policy decision. The bank served notice that OCR hikes “will likely be required next year”. This is arguably a hawkish tilt given previous rhetoric indicated only that rate hikes “may well be needed” next year.

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