Daily Market Technicals

EUR/USD looks to be hinting at a topside break to the daily triangle but bulls continue to look for a close above $1.3677 to confirm a break of the 200-DMA. This would shift overall focus back to the $1.3775 level although the 55 & 100-DMA’s may slow the move a little. Bears now need to see a close below the 21-DMA to ease the moderate bullish pressure that has emerged while below $1.3564 shifts initial focus back to the $1.3503-12 region
RES 4: $1.3708 55-DMA
RES 3: $1.3677 High June 6
RES 2: $1.3671 200-DMA
RES 1: $1.3651 High June 25
LPRICE: $1.3631
SUP 1: $1.3624 hourly support June 26
SUP 2: $1.3595 21-DMA
SUP 3: $1.3564 Low June 20
SUP 4: $1.3535 Low June 17

Following the break lower on Tuesday cable remained capped ahead of the $1.7006 hourly resistance from June 24 on Wednesday with bulls needing a close above this level to see the 2014 highs targeted once more. Daily studies are correcting from O/B levels and add weight to the bearish case but bears need to see a close below $1.6919 to hint at a deeper correction with a close below $1.6840 shifting immediate focus to the $1.6740-70 region.

RES 4: $1.7198 High Oct 21 2008
RES 3: $1.7112 Bollinger band top
RES 2: $1.7063 2014 High June 20
RES 1: $1.7006 Hourly resistance June 24
LPRICE: $1.6984
SUP 1: $1.6919 Low June 18
SUP 2: $1.6881 High May 27 now support, 21-DMA
SUP 3: $1.6848 55-DMA
SUP 4: $1.6840 High June 6 now support

USD/JPY is hinting at a downside break to with pressure remaining on the 200-DMA despite another bounce from below. Bears look for a close below Y101.61 to confirm a break of the 200-DMA and see focus shift to the Y100.75-82 region. Layers of resistance remain in the Y101.88-102.37 region with bulls needing a close above Y102.37 to confirm a topside break with overall focus then shifting to retests of the Y104.12 Apr monthly high.

RES 4: Y102.37 High June 18
RES 3: Y102.20 100-DMA
RES 2: Y101.95 High June 25
RES 1: Y101.88 Hourly resistance June 25
LPRICE: Y101.77
SUP 1: Y101.61 Low June 12
SUP 2: Y101.48 Bollinger band base
SUP 3: Y101.42 Low May 29
SUP 4: Y100.82 Monthly Low May 21

The 200-DMA continues to cap the move higher with the EUR/JPY chopping around the 21-DMA which is capping today. Bulls continue to look for a close above the 200-DMA to ease the current bearish pressure and shift immediate focus to the Y139.91-140.42 region where 55 & 100-DMA’s are noted. While the 200-DMA caps immediate bearish focus remains on the Y137.72 June 16 low and overall focus on 2014 lows.

RES 4: Y140.09 High June 9
RES 3: Y139.46 Hourly resistance June 9
RES 2: Y139.05 200-DMA
RES 1: Y138.93 High June 24
LPRICE: Y138.74
SUP 1: Y138.28 Low June 23
SUP 2: Y137.72 Low June 16
SUP 3: Y136.68 55-WMA
SUP 4: Y136.23 2014 Low Feb 4

The recovery continues with the EUR/GBP now focused on the 21-DMA after having taken out the Gbp0.8025-32 resistance region by a pip on Wednesday. Initial support is noted on the hourlies at Gbp0.8020 but bears look for a close below the Gbp0.8004 level to reconfirm bearish focus and target fresh 2014 lows. Daily studies continue to correct from O/S with bulls needing to see a close above the 21-DMA to hint at a move back to the Gbp0.8180-00 region.

RES 4: Gbp0.8136 55-DMA
RES 3: Gbp0.8087 Falling daily trend line
RES 2: Gbp0.8053 21-DMA
RES 1: Gbp0.8033 High June 25
LPRICE: Gbp0.8024
SUP 1: Gbp0.8020 Hourly support June 26
SUP 2: Gbp0.8004 Hourly support June 24
SUP 3: Gbp0.7959 2014 Low June 16
SUP 4: Gbp0.7923 Low Sept 27 2012