Daily Market Technicals

Oscillation around the 21-DMA continues with spikes towards the 200-DMA lacking follow through. The $1.3670-77 region remains key resistance with bulls needing a close above to end bearish hopes and see immediate focus shift to the $1.3717-84 region where 55 & 100-DMA’s are noted. Bears continue to look for a close below $1.3564 to reconfirm bearish pressure and see the key $1.3503-12 region pressured once more.
RES 4: $1.3677 High June 6
RES 3: $1.3670 200-DMA
RES 2: $1.3643 High June 19
RES 1: $1.3614 High June 23
LPRICE: $1.3595
SUP 1: $1.3564 Low June 20
SUP 2: $1.3535 Low June 17
SUP 3: $1.3512 Low June 12
SUP 4: $1.3503 Low June 5

With daily studies at lofty levels and overdue a correction the pause ahead of the recent 2014 highs is a little concerning for bulls currently targeting the $1.7198 Oct 21 2008 high. Bears need to see a close below Monday’s low to confirm an easing of bullish pressure with a close below $1.6919 then needed to hint at a deeper correction targeting the $1.6690-1.6760 region. Bulls need fresh 2014 highs to kick start bullish momentum.

RES 4: $1.7516 High Oct 20 2008
RES 3: $1.7198 High Oct 21 2008
RES 2: $1.7099 21 day upper Bollinger band
RES 1: $1.7063 2014 High June 20
LPRICE: $1.7021
SUP 1: $1.7002 Low June 23
SUP 2: $1.6973 Hourly support June 18
SUP 3: $1.6919 Low June 18
SUP 4: $1.6881 High May 27 now support

USD/JPY is hinting at a break out with the formation of the triangle on the daily chart. Layers of resistance appear to outweigh layers of support which hints at a break to the downside. Overall bulls look for a close above the Y102.42 level to confirm break topside and a shift in overall focus to the Y104.13 Apr monthly high. Bears need a close below the 200-DMA to confirm a break to the downside with initial focus then shifting to the Y100.75-85 region.

RES 4: Y102.80 High June 4
RES 3: Y102.42 Hourly resistance June 10
RES 2: Y102.22 100-DMA
RES 1: Y102.09 Triangle top
LPRICE: Y101.92
SUP 1: Y101.81 Low June 20 & 23
SUP 2: Y101.74 Low June 19, Triangle base
SUP 3: Y101.67 200-DMA
SUP 4: Y101.45 Low May 29

The 200-DMA confirmed its significance with the failure resulting in a dip and the EUR/JPY now looking heavy with the 21-DMA noted as initial resistance. Bulls continue to look for a close above the 200-DMA to ease the current bearish pressure and shift immediate focus to the Y139.99-140.40 region where 55 & 100-DMA’s are noted. While the 200-DMA caps immediate focus remains on the Y137.70 June 16 low and overall focus on 2014 lows

RES 4: Y140.09 High June 9
RES 3: Y139.46 Hourly resistance June 9
RES 2: Y139.00 200-DMA
RES 1: Y138.81 21-DMA
LPRICE: Y138.52
SUP 1: Y138.28 Low June 23
SUP 2: Y137.72 Low June 16
SUP 3: Y136.58 55-WMA
SUP 4: Y136.23 2014 Low Feb 4

Daily studies remain very O/S and overdue a correction as the EUR/GBP continues to consolidate above the 2014 low. Spikes higher have so far lacked follow through with bulls needing a close above the Gbp0.8025-32 region to confirm an easing of bearish pressure and see immediate focus shift to the Gbp0.8061-0.8104 region. While Gbp0.8025-32 caps immediate focus remains on 2014 lows with bears targeting the Gbp0.7764 2012 low overall

RES 4: Gbp0.8061 21-DMA
RES 3: Gbp0.8032 Previous hourly support now resistance
RES 2: Gbp0.8025 High June 19
RES 1: Gbp0.7998 High June 23
LPRICE: Gbp0.7983
SUP 1: Gbp0.7959 2014 Low June 16
SUP 2: Gbp0.7923 Low Sept 27 2012
SUP 3: Gbp0.7887 Low Sept 5 2012
SUP 4: Gbp0.7812 Low Aug 16 2012