Daily Market Technicals

EUR/USD has again pulled back from the key $1.3647-72 region only to find support ahead of the $1.3586 low from May 29. The 200-DMA continued to cap the pair this week, adding weight to the bearish case that sees bears targeting a retest of 2014 lows while $1.3648-69 caps. Bulls need a close above $1.3672 to confirm a break of the 21 & 200-DMA’s, easing the bearish pressure and seeing focus shift to the $1.3736-81
RES 4: $1.3761 55-DMA
RES 3: $1.3736 100-DMA
RES 2: $1.3672 21-DMA
RES 1: $1.3648 200-DMA
LPRICE: $1.3601
SUP 1: $1.3586 Low May 29
SUP 2: $1.3563 Low Feb 12
SUP 3: $1.3519 55-WMA
SUP 4: $1.3477 2014 low Feb 3

GBP/USD continues to struggle above the 55-DMA ($1.6759) with the $1.6785-1.6842 region remaining key resistance. Bulls need to see a close above $1.6785 to ease bearish pressure a little and a close above the falling daily trend line off 2014 highs to confirm a break of the 21-DMA and shift focus back to the $1.6916-96 region. While $1.6785 caps bears initially target the 100-DMA and in particular a close below.

RES 4: $1.6881 High May 27
RES 3: $1.6842 Falling daily trend line
RES 2: $1.6805 21-DMA
RES 1: $1.6785 High June 3
LPRICE: $1.6743
SUP 1: $1.6733 Low June 4
SUP 2: $1.6693 Low May 29
SUP 3: $1.6677 100-DMA
SUP 4: $1.6659 Low Apr 15

USD/JPY continues to oscillate around the rising 21 day upper Bolli (Y102.69) as bulls remain firmly focused on the Y103.02-104.13 region. Initial support remains around Y102.25 with bears needing a close below to confirm an easing of bearish pressure and a close below Y101.89 to shift focus to retests of the 200-DMA. While Y102.25 supports further oscillation around the upper 21 day Bollinger band is expected to continue.

RES 4: Y104.13 2014 High Apr 4
RES 3: Y103.39 High Apr 7
RES 2: Y103.02 High May 2
RES 1: Y102.80 High June 4
LPRICE: Y102.52
SUP 1: Y102.25 55-DMA, Low June 3
SUP 2: Y101.89 Previous hourly resistance now support
SUP 3: Y101.49 200-DMA
SUP 4: Y100.75 2014 low Feb 4

The Y140.27-99 region where key moving averages are located remains key resistance for euro-yen with the pair having pulled back from this region on Wednesday to find itself retesting initial support. Bears need a close below Y139.36 to confirm an easing of bullish pressure and see the focus return to retests of the 200-DMA. Bulls need a close above Y140.99 to reconfirm bullish pressure and target the Y102.46 level.

RES 4: Y140.99 High May 13
RES 3: Y140.66 55-DMA
RES 2: Y140.55 100-DMA
RES 1: Y140.27 High May 14
LPRICE: Y139.43
SUP 1: Y139.36 High May 27 now support
SUP 2: Y139.08 Low May 3
SUP 3: Y138.50 200-DMA
SUP 4: Y137.97 Low May 29

The bounce back towards the Gbp0.8159 level briefly gave bulls some hope but having once again failed to close above the 21-DMA and test initial resistance the pair is looking heavy once again. Initial support is noted at Gbp0.8104 with a close below reconfirming bearish focus and targeting fresh 2014 lows. Bulls need a close above Gbp0.8159 to confirm a break of the 21-DMA and shift focus back to the Gbp0.8210-36 region.

RES 4: Gbp0.8236 100-DMA
RES 3: Gbp0.8210 55-DMA
RES 2: Gbp0.8191 Low Feb 28 now resistance
RES 1: Gbp0.8159 High May 19
LPRICE: Gbp0.8121
SUP 1: Gbp0.8104 Low June 3
SUP 2: Gbp0.8083 2014 Low May 22
SUP 3: Gbp0.8035 Low Dec 10 2012
SUP 4: Gbp0.8005 Low Nov 21 2012