Daily Market Technicals

After having found support ahead of the 100-DMA to start the new week the EUR/USD finally managed the first close below the 100-DMA since Feb which adds weight to the bearish case and sees immediate focus shift to the rising daily trend line. Overall, bears now target a break lower that tests the 200-DMA with a close below last seen briefly in early Sept 2013. The 100-DMA now becomes initial resistance with a close above needed to ease bearish pressure.
RES 4: $1.3824 21-DMA
RES 3: $1.3815 55-DMA
RES 2: $1.3775 High May 12
RES 1: $1.3740 100-DMA
LPRICE: $1.3717
SUP 1: $1.3673 Monthly low Apr 4, rising daily trend line
SUP 2: $1.3644 Low Feb 27
SUP 3: $1.3624 200-DMA
SUP 4: $1.3563 Low Feb 12

The correction lower from ahead of the psychological $1.7000 level has now closed below the 21-DMA and combined with a correcting O/B Slow Stochastic study is hinting at a deeper pullback. Bears are looking for a close below Tuesday’s low to add weight to the bearish case and see immediate focus shift to layers of support in the $1.3748-77 region and then the key $1.6704-22 region below. Bulls need a close above $1.6902 to kick start bullish momentum

RES 4: $1.6996 2014 high May 6
RES 3: $1.6975 High May 8
RES 2: $1.6902 High May 12
RES 1: $1.6862 Alternating hourly support/resistance
LPRICE: $1.6858
SUP 1: $1.6821 Low May 2
SUP 2: $1.6777 Low Apr 28
SUP 3: $1.6722 55-DMA
SUP 4: $1.6704 Rising daily trend line

The Y102.36 level confirmed its significance as resistance on Tuesday, capping the recovery from ahead of the key Y100.75-101.32 support region. Bulls continue to look for a close above Y102.36 to end bearish hopes and see immediate focus shift higher to the Y102.76-103.12 resistance region. While Y102.36 caps, bears will continue to focus on further attempts to work through the Y100.75-101.32 region with the 200-DMA noted at Y101.16.

RES 4: Y103.12 High Apr 8
RES 3: Y103.00 High May 2
RES 2: Y102.76 100-DMA
RES 1: Y102.36 Hourly resistance May 2, 55-DMA
LPRICE: Y102.13
SUP 1: Y101.82 Low May 12
SUP 2: Y101.43 Low May 7
SUP 3: Y101.32 Low Apr 10
SUP 4: Y101.21 Low Mar 14

EUR/JPY has continued to remain heavy following the break to the downside that took out the Y140.99 support level last week. The pair continues to pressure the Y139.92 support with bears favouring a break lower that initially targets the Y138.81 Feb 27 low. Bulls need a close above the Y140.94 level to ease the bearish pressure and a close above key moving averages clustered in the Y141.20-39 region to shift focus back to the Y142.46 region.

RES 4: Y143.45 High Apr 2
RES 3: Y142.46 High Apr 29, Triangle top off Dec monthly high
RES 2: Y141.39 55-DMA
RES 1: Y140.94 High May 13
LPRICE: Y140.12
SUP 1: Y139.92 Low May 9
SUP 2: Y139.14 61.8% Fibonacci 136.28-143.77
SUP 3: Y138.81 Low Feb 27
SUP 4: Y137.85 200-DMA

Fresh 2014 lows further confirm bearish pressure that now sees the immediate focus shift to the Gbp0.8005-35 region last seen in 2012. Initial resistance is now noted at Tuesday’s high but bulls need to see a close above the Gbp0.8191 level that previously supported to confirm an easing of bearish pressure. Overall a close above the 21-DMA is needed to see focus shift back to the Gbp0.8257-67 region where key moving averages are noted

RES 4: Gbp0.8257 High Apr 29
RES 3: Gbp0.8205 21-DMA
RES 2: Gbp0.8191 Low Feb 28 now resistance
RES 1: Gbp0.8173 High May 13
LPRICE: Gbp0.0.8135
SUP 1: Gbp0.8035 Low Dec 10 2012
SUP 2: Gbp0.8005 Low Nov 21 2012
SUP 3: Gbp0.7960 Monthly low Nov 8 2012
SUP 4: Gbp0.7923 Monthly low Sep 27 2012