Daily Market Technicals

EUR/USD continues to find support ahead of the 100-DMA with a close below the 100-DMA not seen since early Feb. Initial resistance is now noted at Monday’s $1.3775 high with bulls needing a close above to ease the current bearish pressure that is favouring a break lower that then targets the $1.3673 level. Overall, bulls need a close above the 21-DMA to end bearish hopes and shift focus back to 2014 highs.
RES 4: $1.3889 Alternating daily support/resistance
RES 3: $1.3831 21-DMA
RES 2: $1.3816 55-DMA
RES 1: $1.3775 High May 12
LPRICE: $1.3758
SUP 1: $1.3740 100-DMA
SUP 2: $1.3673 Monthly low Apr 4, rising daily trend line
SUP 3: $1.3644 Low Feb 27
SUP 4: $1.3622 200-DMA

The correction lower from ahead of the psychological $1.7000 level has so far paused ahead of the 21-DMA with a close below last seen back in early April. Bears look for a close below the 21-DMA to confirm a shift lower in focus that then targets the $1.6697-1.6719 region where the rising daily channel base and 55-DMA are located. Bulls now need a close back above $1.6913 to shift focus from a break of the 21-DMA and back to the 2014 high.

RES 4: $1.7042 2009 high Aug 5
RES 3: $1.6996 2014 high May 6
RES 2: $1.6975 High May 8
RES 1: $1.6913 Hourly resistance May 9
LPRICE: $1.6881
SUP 1: $1.6843 21-DMA
SUP 2: $1.6821 Low May 2
SUP 3: $1.6777 Low Apr 28
SUP 4: $1.6719 55-DMA

As daily tech studies continue to correct USD/JPY is working its way through the Y102.01-36 resistance region and is currently flirting with the 21-DMA. Bulls look for a close above Y102.36 to confirm an easing of bearish pressure and see immediate focus shift higher to the Y102.79-103.12 region. Bears need to see the Y102.36 level cap in order to retain focus on retests of the key Y100.75-101.32 region with the 200-DMA noted at Y101.13

RES 4: Y103.12 High Apr 8
RES 3: Y103.00 High May 2
RES 2: Y102.79 100-DMA
RES 1: Y102.36 Hourly resistance May 2, 55-DMA
LPRICE: Y102.27
SUP 1: Y101.82 Low May 12
SUP 2: Y101.43 Low May 7
SUP 3: Y101.32 Low Apr 10
SUP 4: Y101.21 Low Mar 14

The break lower Thursday was followed up with a dip below the Y139.96-140.02 support region to end the week. Bears are now targeting a continuation lower that tests the Y138.81 Feb 27 low with overall focus having shifted to the 200-DMA. Bulls now look for a close above the Y140.84 resistance level to ease the current bearish pressure and above the 21-DMA to target the Y142.47 level.

RES 4: Y143.79 Monthly high Mar 7
RES 3: Y143.45 High Apr 2
RES 2: Y142.47 High Apr 29, Triangle top off Dec monthly high
RES 1: Y140.84 High May 9
LPRICE: Y140.69
SUP 1: Y139.92 Low May 9
SUP 2: Y139.14 61.8% Fibonacci 136.28-143.77
SUP 3: Y138.81 Low Feb 27
SUP 4: Y137.79 200-DMA

Fresh 2014 lows further confirm bearish pressure that now sees the immediate focus shift to the Gbp0.8005-35 region last seen in 2012. Initial resistance is now noted at Monday’s high but bulls need to see a close above the Gbp0.8191 level that previously supported to confirm an easing of bearish pressure. Overall a close above the 21-DMA is needed to see focus shift back to the Gbp0.8257-67 region where key moving averages are noted.

RES 4: Gbp0.8257 High Apr 29
RES 3: Gbp0.8211 21-DMA
RES 2: Gbp0.8191 Low Feb 28 now resistance
RES 1: Gbp0.8168 High May 12
LPRICE: Gbp0.0.8150
SUP 1: Gbp0.8035 Low Dec 10 2012
SUP 2: Gbp0.8005 Low Nov 21 2012
SUP 3: Gbp0.7960 Monthly low Nov 8 2012
SUP 4: Gbp0.7923 Monthly low Sep 27 2012