Daily Market Technicals

The dip back towards the $1.3824 support overnight eased the previous bullish focus and sees pressure on a break lower. A close below $1.3824 remains needed to hint at a deeper correction back to the $1.3644-1.3753 region where key moving averages and rising daily channel base are noted. While $1.3824 supports bulls will be looking for a close above Tuesday’s high to reignite bullish focus and see fresh 2014 highs targeted once more.
R 4: $1.4199 High Oct 28 1011
R 3: $1.3928 Rising daily channel top
R 2: $1.3915 2014 high Mar 7, 21 week upper Bollinger band
R 1: $1.3876 High Mar 11
LP: $1.3854
S 1: $1.3824 High Feb 28 now support
S 2: $1.3753 21-DMA
S 3: $1.3735 Rising daily channel base
S 4: $1.3695 Low Feb 28

Since closing back below the 21-DMA ($1.6676) on Monday GBP/USD has continued to consolidate below with a close above $1.6686 needed to confirm a break above, seeing bullish focus return and the $1.6784-1.6820 region targeted. Bearish pressure currently sees the $1.6583 support as key with a close below favoured while $1.6686 caps, initially targeting the 55-DMA and 50% Fibo support and then the 100-DMA below.

R 4: $1.6823 2014 High Feb 17
R 3: $1.6786 High Mar 7
R 2: $1.6686 Low Mar 6 now resistance
R 1: $1.6653 High Mar 11
LP: $1.6620
S 1: $1.6583 Low Feb 24
S 2: $1.6538 55-DMA, 50.0% Fibonacci 1.6255-1.6823
S 3: $1.6471 61.8% Fibonacci 1.6255-1.6823
S 4: $1.6390 100-DMA

The Y103.15 level that was noted as initial support Tuesday is now seen as initial resistance with a close above needed to reignite bullish focus and hint at a retest of last week’s high. The dip below the previous key support at Y102.83 followed by the failure to retake the Y103.15 level sees bears now targeting a retest of key moving averages in the Y102.22-38 region with a close below then seeing a retest of the Y100.79-101.21 region become the focal point.

R 4: Y104.92 High Jan 16
R 3: Y103.88 Low Jan 20 now resistance
R 2: Y103.43 High Mar 11
R 1: Y103.15 Hourly breakdown level Mar 11, 55-DMA
LP: Y102.90
S 1: Y102.78 Hourly low Mar 12
S 2: Y102.38 21-DMA
S 3: Y102.22 100-DMA
S 4: Y101.21 Low Mar 3

The recent lower daily highs and lows following the failure to make headway above Y143.79 combined with overbought daily studies and a dip below the Y142.54 support sees euro-yen looking a little heavy with bears now looking for a continuation lower that initially targets the Y140.80-141.29 region. Bulls will need to see a close above hourly resistance at Y143.34 to ease the renewed bearish focus while above Y143.78 is needed to shift overall focus higher

R 4: Y145.10 2014 high Jan 2
R 3: Y144.41 Low Dec 31 now resistance
R 2: Y143.79 High Mar 7
R 1: Y143.34 Hourly resistance Mar 11
LP: Y142.60
S 1: Y142.39 Hourly low Mar 12
S 2: Y141.29 High Feb 21 now support
S 3: Y141.06 55-DMA
S 4: Y140.80 21-DMA

Continued hesitation ahead of the 2014 high as daily studies approach O/B levels is of some concern for the bullish continuation with bulls looking for a close above Gbp0.8350 to reconfirm bullish focus and target the Gbp0.8410-27 region. Bears now need to see a close below Tuesday’s low to ease the current bullish pressure with a close below the Gbp0.8301 support needed to hint at a deeper correction initially targeting the 21-DMA.

R 4: Gbp0.8427 200-DMA
R 3: Gbp0.8410 High Dec 25
R 2: Gbp0.8372 50.0% Fibonacci 0.8584-0.8158
R 1: Gbp0.8350 2014 high Feb 6
LP: Gbp0.8334
S 1: Gbp0.8321 Low Mar 11
S 2: Gbp0.8301 High Mar 7 now support
S 3: Gbp0.8270 55-DMA
S 4: Gbp0.8246 21-DMA