The Global Macro Pulse

Overnight Price Action

The  S&P  fell  1.2%  in  New  York,  but  the  combination  of  news  that  the White House  is  considering  a  temporary  increase  in  the debt  ceiling  and  news  that President Obama will nominate Janet Yellen to replace Fed Chairman Bernanke have pushed S&P futures up 0.3% in Asia. Asian equity markets are mixed. The Nikkei and Kospi are up 0.4% and Shanghai is flat, but the HSI is down 0.6% and most SE Asia markets are slightly weaker.

The dollar is slightly stronger from late New York levels against the EUR and the JPY at 1.3566 and 97.29 respectively, but flat against the AUD at 0.9431. All EM Asia currencies have weakened against the dollar, led by a 0.4% fall in the MYR  to  3.2085  to  the  dollar  and  a  0.3%  easing  in  the  KRW  to  1076.49. USDCNY fixed 15pips higher to 6.143.

The  US  10yr  yield  opened  lower  on  the  Yellen  news,  but  at  2.6375,  is  now essentially flat to New York closing levels. JGB yields are virtually unchanged.Yields  in  most  Asian  rates  markets  are  off  1  –  3bps.  China  is  the  exception.Liquidity  tightening  into  the  reserve  maintenance  period  has  pushed  up  the  7 day repo rate 10bps to 4.5% dragging up yields across the curve by 2  –  5bps.The liquidity squeeze should abate after 15 October.

Read the full report: Market Research

 

Credit Suisse