Tag Archives: USD/CHF
Daily FX Technical Strategy: CHF bursts into life
The long weekend in the US could keep trading subdued today, however that doesn’t make it devoid of interest. EUR/CHF has been one of the quietest markets this year but yesterday burst into life with volumes spiking as price spiked higher.
FX Market Technical Research
EUR/USD has charted a minor new low for the year, this has not been confirmed by the daily RSI and the market has not closed below the 1.2530 78.6% retracement of the move from 2010 to 2011, this suggests caution here.
Behavioral Finance: Daily Forex Outlook: Opinions on eurobonds need to be known
EUR USD (1.2575) The euro was roiled yesterday on unconfirmed reports that eurozone governments are preparing contingency plans for an exit of a country from the bloc. It would be puzzling if officials thought it necessary to make it explicit given the obvious risks.
Daily FX Technical Strategy: Increasing despondency
As the eurozone problems rumble on, investor despondency appears to be growing. Yesterday, EUR/USD fell to a new 2012 low; further weakness beyond 1.25 over the rest of May would pave the way for a run at 1.19 later in the year. This is having an extreme impact on commodity prices with the broad based […]
FX Market Technical Research
EUR/USD has charted a minor new low for the year, but before we jump whole heartedly on the bear wagon we would highlight the 1.2530 78.6% retracement of the move from 2010 to 2011. We will need to see a close below here to confirm the next leg lower is underway.
Behavioral Finance: Daily Forex Outlook: The path to eurobonds
EUR USD (1.2670) Germany’s ability to sell a zero coupon bond is as much a product of its fiscal strength as it is of the external crisis. It is not surprising therefore that core countries are still opposing eurobonds on the grounds that they should be preceded by rules for stricter fiscal governance or include […]
Daily FX Technical Strategy: Shrinking growth expectations
Yesterday Spanish 10y yields fell, suggesting a lessening in immediate eurozone tension, but it would appear that elsewhere European fears, and more specifically their potential impact on global growth, rose. Commodity and Emerging Market currencies were hit hard and point to further material weakness into the summer months. Sterling also regained some of its lustre […]
FX Market Technical Research
EUR/USD is consolidating just above the 1.2624 January low. The market has seen a very shallow rebound so far, following its key day reversal charted on Friday and continues to weigh on the downside.
Behavioral Finance: Daily Forex Outlook: The eurozone to mull more transfers
EUR USD (1.2790) The European banking system is posing challenges which make the burden of any country exiting the eurozone even more troublesome. The bad banks loans in Spain have increased to €148 billion, making it urgent for the politicians to shape a concrete policy response.
Daily FX Technical Strategy: A chance to reload
Key Day Reversals in the USD Index, EUR/USD and USD/CHF on Friday imply profit taking after the recent USD rally allowing momentum to unwind from extreme levels. The absence of evidence of divergence implies a corrective move fuelled by profit taking, which isn’t supported by CFTC stats but was a theme from our client base […]
FX Market Technical Research
EUR/USD has charted a key day reversal just ahead of the the 1.2624 January low. The rally has already met the 23.6% retracement at 1.2793, looking for this to extend to 1.2887 then 1.2963, there is scope for 1.3038 (61.8% retracement+ early February and early April lows ) but we would expect the market to […]
Behavioral Finance: Daily Forex Outlook: A lost decade?
EUR USD (1.2680) The Greek electorate’s desire to remain in the eurozone is now being reflected in the latest polls of voting intention. Parties supporting the international bailout would be able to form a coalition government according to the latest survey, but the market did not see this as positive.