Asian Currencies Technicals

AUD/USD: Lower lows and highs continue for the aussie with Wednesday’s bounce remaining capped ahead of the 21-DMA ($0.9525) and the initial resistance at $0.9521. A close back above the $0.9585 level remains needed to relieve the immediate bearish focus while a close above the 200-DMA is needed to see overall focus shift higher to the $0.9918 resistance level. Immediate focus remains on a test of the $0.9390 Oct 14 low.
R 4: $0.9679 – Previous daily resistance now support
R 3: $0.9624 – High Oct 25
R 2: $0.9585 – Hourly resistance Oct 28
R 1: $0.9521 – Hourly resistance Oct 29
Latest price: $0.9465
S 1: $0.9390 – Low Oct 4
S 2: $0.9319 – 55 day moving average
S 3: $0.9286 – Low Sept 30
S 4: $0.9263 – 100 day moving average

The move lower in the NZD/USD continued overnight with the pair pausing at the 21 day lower Bollinger band and the 200-DMA noted at $0.8182. Below $0.8159 remains needed to see focus return to the $0.7685-0.7730 region. A close above the 21-DMA remains needed to relieve the immediate bearish focus while above the $0.8445 level remains needed to see the pair targeting the $0.8555-82 region once more.

R 4: $0.8555 – High May 6
R 3: $0.8445 – High Oct 24
R 2: $0.8352 – 21 day moving average
R 1: $0.8286 – High Oct 30
Latest price: $0.8240
S 1: $0.8182 – 200 day moving average
S 2: $0.8172 – 55 day moving average
S 3: $0.8159 – Low Sept 16
S 4: $0.8084 – Low Sept 12

The failure at the NZ$1.1579 level combined with correcting overbought daily tech studies have seen the AUD/NZD slowly making headway below the 100-DMA, closing inside the Ichimoku cloud. Immediate focus remains on a test of the Oct 24 low with a close below this level shifting overall focus back to a test of the 2013 low. Above the NZ$1.1579 level is needed to kick start bullish momentum and shift focus back to the NZ$1.1658-1.1748 region.

R 4: NZ$1.1748 – High July 11
R 3: NZ$1.1658 – Monthly High Sept 4
R 2: NZ$1.1579 – High Sept 6 & Oct 28
R 1: NZ$1.1527 – Hourly resistance Oct 29
Latest price: NZ$1.1482
S 1: NZ$1.1431 – Low Oct 24
S 2: NZ$1.1388 – Low Oct 22
S 3: NZ$1.1345 – Alternating hourly support/resistance
S 4: NZ$1.1302 – Low Oct 14

An inside day for AUD/JPY on Wednesday as the pair bounced from ahead of recent lows. Immediate focus remains on a test of the Oct 29 low with a close above the Y93.97 level needed to relieve the immediate bearish focus while back above the 200-DMA is needed to shift focus higher once more. A close below the Y92.39 support remains needed to confirm a break of the 21-DMA and see the immediate focus shift to layers of support in the Y90.67-91.40 region.

R 4: Y95.67 – Monthly High Oct 22
R 3: Y94.73 – 200 day moving average
R 2: Y94.34 – High Oct 24
R 1: Y93.97 – High Oct 28
Latest price: Y93.21
S 1: Y92.69 – Low Oct 29
S 2: Y92.39 – Hourly support Oct 10
S 3: Y92.14 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Y86.43-95.67
S 4: Y91.76 – Ichimoku cloud top

EUR/AUD continues to pause ahead of the 21 day upper Bollinger band and the key A$1.4558 resistance level. A close above the A$1.4558 level remains needed to see focus ratchet higher to tests of the 2013 high. A close below the A$1.4399 level remains needed to relieve the immediate bullish pressure while a close below the Oct 24 low is needed to confirm a break of the 21-DMA and shift focus lower.

R 4: A$1.5028 – 2013 high Aug 28
R 3: A$1.4757 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 2: A$1.4558 – High Sept 4 & 27
R 1: A$1.4553 – 21 day upper Bollinger band
Latest price: A$1.4496
S 1: A$1.4448 – 55 day moving average
S 2: A$1.4399 – Low Oct 29
S 3: A$1.4327 – 21 day moving average
S 4: A$1.4268 – Low Oct 24

USD/KRW has dipped back below the Krw1060.0 support level after remaining capped ahead of the falling 21-DMA. A close above the 21-DMA remains needed to see focus shift higher to layers of resistance in the Krw1081.1-1091.1 region including the falling daily channel top and 55-DMA. A close below the 2013 low is needed to reconfirm bearish focus and re-target the falling daily channel base. Daily tech studies are correcting from oversold levels.

R 4: Krw1084.1 – 55 day moving average
R 3: Krw1082.7 – Falling daily channel top
R 2: Krw1081.1 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 1: Krw1066.9 – 21 day moving average
Latest price: Krw1060.2
S 1: Krw1055.5 – 21 day lower Bollinger band
S 2: Krw1054.5 – 2013 low Jan 11
S 3: Krw1048.3 – 2011 low Aug 1
S 4: Krw1045.8 – Falling daily channel base

The bounces in USD/SGD remain capped ahead of the initial resistance at Sgd1.2434. Correcting oversold daily tech studies may limit downside follow through and see further tests of initial resistance. A close back above the Sgd1.2434 level remains needed to relieve the bearish focus that is currently targeting an overall test of the May monthly low. A close above the Sgd1.2541 level remains needed to shift overall focus higher.

R 4: Sgd1.2527 – 200 day moving average
R 3: Sgd1.2496 – High Oct 11
R 2: Sgd1.2464 – High Oct 16
R 1: Sgd1.2434 – High Oct 22
Latest price: Sgd1.2391
S 1: Sgd1.2330 – Low May 10
S 2: Sgd1.2268 – Monthly low May 9
S 3: Sgd1.2224 – Low Jan 10
S 4: Sgd1.2198 – 2013 Low Jan 2