Asian Currencies Technicals

AUD/USD traded sideways on Wednesday with the pair little changed from the previous NY close. We continue to look for a break back below the 21-DMA ($0.9380) to relieve the current bullish focus that is targeting a continuation higher that tests the key $0.9665 level. Overall we continue to look for a close below the $0.9221 support to end bullish aspirations and see focus shift back to retests of the $0.8850-95 region.
R 4: $0.9573 – High June 18
R 3: $0.9527 – High Sept 18
R 2: $0.9512 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement $1.0582-0.8850
R 1: $0.9484 – High Oct 8
Latest price: $0.9444
S 1: $0.9390 – Low Oct 7
S 2: $0.9365 – Hourly support Oct 3
S 3: $0.9332 – Low Oct 2
S 4: $0.9286 – Low Sept 30

NZD/USD continues to find support at the $0.8272 level with the pair again having bounced from this level on Wednesday. With the 21-DMA now coming in just above this level, we will look for a close below $0.8272 to relieve the bullish focus that is targeting retests of the $0.8351 level, with a break above seeing immediate focus shift to retests of the Sept monthly high. Below $0.8159 remains needed to shift overall focus back to 2013 lows.

R 4: $0.8477 – High May 9
R 3: $0.8435 – Monthly high Sept 19
R 2: $0.8401 – High Sept 20
R 1: $0.8351 – High Oct 4
Latest price: $0.8298
S 1: $0.8272 – Low Oct 7 & 8
S 2: $0.8202 – Daily low Oct 2
S 3: $0.8183 – 200 day moving average
S 4: $0.8159 – Alternating daily support/resistance

AUD/NZD: Layers of resistance remain in the NZ$1.1417-77 region with further tests expected until a close back below the NZ$1.1315 hourly support from Oct 3 low is seen which sees the immediate focus shift to tests of the NZ$1.1261 level. A close above NZ$1.1477 remains needed to see overall focus shift higher to the NZ$1.1658 Sept monthly high. The NZ$1.1261 support remains key, with a close below needed to shift focus back to retests of the 2013 lows

R 4: NZ$1.1593 – 100 day moving average
R 3: NZ$1.1477 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 2: NZ$1.1439 – Ichimoku cloud base
R 1: NZ$1.1417 – High Oct 2
Latest price: NZ$1.1378
S 1: NZ$1.1315 – Hourly support Oct 3
S 2: NZ$1.1261 – Low Oct 3
S 3: NZ$1.1195 – Low Oct 1
S 4: NZ$1.1185 – 2013 low Aug 1

AUD/JPY: The Y92.40 level continues to cap on bounces with the gently falling 21-DMA coming in just below at Y92.29. A close above the Y92.40 level is now needed to confirm a break of the 21-DMA and shift overall focus higher to tests of the 200-DMA (Y94.69). Layers of support remain in the Y90.11-82 region with a close below Y90.11 needed to confirm a break of the 55-DMA and shift overall focus lower to the 2013 low

R 4: Y94.09 – High Sept 20
R 3: Y93.56 – High Sept 23
R 2: Y93.01 – High Sept 26
R 1: Y92.40 – Hourly resistance Sept 27
Latest price: Y91.96
S 1: Y90.82 – Low Oct 2
S 2: Y90.67 – Low Sept 6
S 3: Y90.37 – 55 day moving average
S 4: Y90.11 – Alternating daily support/resistance

EUR/AUD dipped below the 100-DMA (A$1.4299) yesterday before bouncing from the Sept 23 low. A close back above the Oct 7 high is needed to relieve the current bearish focus that is targeting a continuation lower that initially tests the A$1.4170-97 region with a break lower seeing the A$1.3802-74 region targeted. Overall the A$1.4558 Sept 4 high remains key resistance with a close above needed to end bearish aspirations and shift focus higher.

R 4: A$1.4757 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 3: A$1.4738 – Ichimoku cloud top
R 2: A$1.4558 – High Sept 4
R 1: A$1.4465 – High Oct 7
Latest price: A$1.4321
S 1: A$1.4275 – Low Sept 23
S 2: A$1.4215 – 21 day lower Bollinger band
S 3: A$1.4197 – Low Sept 18
S 4: A$1.4170 – Low July 17

Following the dip to fresh 9 month lows to start the new week. USD/KRW has spiked above the 21-DMA which comes in below the key Krw1081.1 resistance level. A close above Krw1081.1 remains needed to relieve the immediate bearish focus, while back above the Krw1091.1 level is needed to shift focus back to the Krw1101.8-1108.4 region. The falling daily channel base comes in around Krw1059.4 and remains targeted while Krw1081.1 caps.

R 4: Krw1105.5 – 200 day moving average
R 3: Krw1091.1 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 2: Krw1081.1 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 1: Krw1077.2 – 21 day moving average
Latest price: Krw1076
S 1: Krw1069.3 – Low Oct 8
S 2: Krw1068.2 – 21 day lower Bollinger band
S 3: Krw1060.5 – Alternating daily support/resistance
S 4: Krw1054.5 – 2013 low Jan 11

USD/SGD managed a bounce above the 200-DMA yesterday before failing at the Sgd1.2523 level that had previously supported. We continue to look for close above initial resistance to confirm a break of the 200-DMA which would then see immediate focus shift higher to the Sept 30 high. While initial resistance caps, a break of the 55-WMA remains favoured that sees the June monthly low tested.

R 4: Sgd1.2610 – High Sept 18
R 3: Sgd1.2581 – High Sept 30
R 2: Sgd1.2543 – 21 day moving average
R 1: Sgd1.2524 – High Oct 9
Latest price: Sgd1.2494
S 1: Sgd1.2455 – Low Oct 4
S 2: Sgd1.2446 – 55 week moving average
S 3: Sgd1.2407 – Monthly low June 7
S 4: Sgd1.2359 – Previous daily resistance now support