Technical Analysis – FX Daily Majors – July 25

Today’s highlights:

EUR/USD: Setback from the 2011 topping line, 1.4450 leaves risk of defensive consolidation early this week.  Below 1.4324 today would aim at 1.4139; month-end risk to 1.4015

USD/JPY: Cautious probe and another defence of 78.25 retrace support.  We still look for a rebound back to the range

USD/CHF: Reluctant base effort with .8278 new upside barrier intact.  Erosion this a.m. leaves bear extension risk through .8044 to .7845

AUD/USD: Bullish “outside” Thursday falters at 1.0881/90, retrace/chart area, but break above 1.0804 leaves month-end risk for a retest of 1.1014 peak/key 1.1035

Today’s trades:

EUR/USD: Flat; would try short at 1.4434 for 1.4229. Exit to flat here or reverse to long above 1.4456

USD/JPY: Reversed to a short at 78.19 for 77.06; reverse back to long above 78.76

GBP/USD: Flat, sell at 1.6328 for 1.6203; exit/reverse 1.6385

USD/CHF: Short at .8234 for .8006; exit .8282

AUD/USD: Unwanted short at 1.0794; reverse to long at 1.0794 or above 1.0894

NZD/USD: Retry long at .8530 for .8900; exit .8412

USD/CAD: Re-entered short at .9513 for .9276; exit .9651

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http://www.easyforexnews.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/document-804260940.pdf

 

Credit Suisse
FIXED INCOME RESEARCH & ANALYTICS