Mid-Day FX Market Analysis

EUR: Opened early Europe at $1.2888, Euro-dollar closed Thursday’s session at $1.2882, after correcting back from a pullback low of $1.2858 and seen after rate was rejected from the $1.2899 level earlier in the day. Rate squeezed lower into early Asia to $1.28685 before recovering, the move up aided by a corrective bounce in euro-yen which took rate up to $1.2890. Further demand into early Europe saw market target the $1.2900 level, eventually giving way with triggered stops taking rate on to an initial high of $1.2911 (55-dma). US investment house sales of euro-yen took rate back below $1.2900, meeting demand between $1.2880/75 ahead of Ifo release. Strong numbers spiked rate back to $1.2902, with second wave demand lifting rate on to $1.2913. Asian selling squeezed rate back to $1.2892 before rate bounced to $1.2915. Good two way trade at $1.2910 eventually saw rate ease back below $1.2900, but pullbacks remained shallow, the market aware of decent demand sitting between $1.2870/50. Upside key seen at Y106.50/60 in euro-yen, a break suggested to signal higher levels.

GBP: Opened early Europe at $1.5951 and stg0.8080, GBP closed Thursday at $1.5943 after recovering off a pullback low of $1.5919, seen after the yen corrected earlier losses ahead of the today’s Japan holiday and the weekend. Cable squeezed to an early low in Asia of $1.5936 before it recovered, the move up seen in line with euro-dollar, which in turn again took direction in Asia from euro-yen action. Cable traded to an initial high of $1.5951, extending to $1.5955 ahead of the European open. Euro-sterling, which had been driven to highs of stg0.8086 Thursday, consolidated the move through Asia within stg0.80755/0.80825. Cable extended recovery to $1.5965 in early Europe (76.4% $1.5978-19) only to get rejected with the corrective pullback given added weight as euro-sterling reacted to the strong release of Germany Ifo. Cable squeezed back to $1.5930, as the cross poked above stg0.8100, the move to stg0.8101 (taking out a barrier) taking it down to $1.5930 where it met support. However, recovery efforts remain laboured, the rate holding around $1.5940 ahead of NY.

JPY: Opened in early Europe at Y82.32 and Y106.14, Dollar-yen opened at Y82.40 and ground to Y82.51 in a Japan holiday thinned Friday session before a US name leaned into the recovery and pressed rate down to Y82.25. Recovery to Y82.43 proved short lived as fresh sales emerged that took rate to session lows of Y82.18 where it met stronger demand interest. Late trade recovered to Y82.37 ahead of Europe. Euro-yen saw lows of Y105.88 in Asia, before the cross recovered to Y106.22, shy of early highs at Y106.27. Dollar-yen opened heavy and with noted profit take sales slipped to Y82.20, large supply from a US name extended losses to Y82.05 where the rate met support ahead of bids into Y82.00. The cross made a show under Y106.00 and ground to lows of Y105.73 ahead of German IFO data. On release of better than expected Business Climate numbers the pair bounced sharply back through Y106.00 and extended to Y106.27. Dollar tracked the move and pared early losses to print Y82.38 as volumes continued light in headline driven markets.

 

EasyForexNews Research Team