EUR Mid-day Analysis

As mentioned already Euro zone economic news released this morning wasa mixed bag for some, while others only see evidence of slowing from today’s numbers. The positive news came from a fresh record low German unemployment reading, with softer Euro zone inflation results, a rise in Euro zone unemployed and the talk of a possible terrorism incident in Paris leaving the Euro under pressure to start today. The Euro is technically oversold, but the fundamentals continue to favor the bear camp. Down-trend channel resistance is seen up at 119.04 today but that resistance declines to 118.84 on Thursday.

Technical Outlook: The market was pushed to a new contract low. Daily stochastics are trending lower but have declined into oversold territory. A negative signal for trend short-term was given on a close under the 9-bar moving average. The market tilt is slightly negative with the close under the pivot. The next downside objective is now at 118.3225. With a reading under 20, the 9-day RSI indicates the market is extremely oversold. The next area of resistance is around 119.4249 and 120.0225, while 1st support hits today at 118.5750 and below there at 118.3225.