Asian Currencies Technicals

After making headway above the 21-DMA ($0.9322) the AUD/USD is pausing at the $0.9395 resistance level. Initial support is now noted at the $0.9348 May 9 low with bears needing a close below to ease the bullish pressure. Overall bears look for a close below the $0.9319 May 7 low to end bullish hopes and see the immediate focus shift to the rising daily channel base. While the $0.9319-48 region supports bulls are targeting a retest of the 2014 high.
RES 4: $0.9504 – 21 week upper Bollinger band
RES 3: $0.9461 – 2014 high Apr 10
RES 2: $0.9426 – High Apr 11
RES 1: $0.9395 – Hourly resistance Apr 15
LPRICE: $0.9360
SUP 1: $0.9348 – Low May 9
SUP 2: $0.9319 – Low May 7
SUP 3: $0.9280 – Rising daily channel base off Jan 31 low
SUP 4: $0.9202 – Low May 2

After making fresh 2014 highs last week the NZD/USD has corrected lower dipping below the 21-DMA. The move lower has eased the bullish pressure with bears looking for a close below $0.8591 to confirm a break of the 21-DMA and see focus shift lower to the $0.8501-68 region where the 55-DMA is located. It should be noted a close below the 55-DMA has not been seen since the pair closed above back in early Feb.

RES 4: $0.8779 – 2014 High May 6
RES 3: $0.8717 – 21 day upper Bollinger band
RES 2: $0.8671 – High May 8
RES 1: $0.8637 – High May 12
LPRICE: $0.8614
SUP 1: $0.8591 – Low May 2
SUP 2: $0.8568 – 55-DMA
SUP 3: $0.8547 – Low Apr 30
SUP 4: $0.8501 – Low Mar 20

Since breaking back above the 21-DMA last week the AUD/NZD has now found support at this level with bulls focused on a break higher that targets the NZ$1.0908-47 region. Bears now look for a close below the 21-DMA to ease the current bullish pressure whereas a close below the 100-DMA is needed to end bullish hopes and see focus shift lower to retests of the key NZ$1.0606-40 support region. Daily studies are moving higher and support further topside.

RES 4: NZ$1.1036 – 50.0% Fibonacci 1.1579-1.0476
RES 3: NZ$1.0947 – 2014 high Feb 4
RES 2: NZ$1.0908 – 38.2% Fibonacci 1.1579-1.0476
RES 1: NZ$1.0871 – High Apr 28
LPRICE: NZ$1.0860
SUP 1: NZ$1.0817 – 21-DMA
SUP 2: NZ$1.0792 – Hourly resistance May 7 now support
SUP 3: NZ$1.0757 – 100-DMA
SUP 4: NZ$1.0728 – Low May 7

AUD/JPY has managed to close above the 21-DMA after having bounced from the rising daily channel base last week. The pair is looking bid as it makes headway above the 21-DMA with bulls now targeting a retest of the Y96.24-49 region where the 2014 high is noted. Daily tech studies continue to correct higher and are supportive of the bullish case. Bears need a close below the 21-DMA to ease the current bullish pressure

RES 4: Y97.38 – 21 week upper Bollinger band
RES 3: Y96.49 – 2014 high Apr 4
RES 2: Y96.24 – High Apr 23
RES 1: Y96.09 – 21 day upper Bollinger band
LPRICE: Y95.63
SUP 1: Y95.28 – 21-DMA
SUP 2: Y94.93 – Low May 8
SUP 3: Y94.81 – Rising daily channel base
SUP 4: Y94.25 – Low May 5

After having broken and close below both the 21 & 200-DMA’s last week the EUR/AUD has continued to work its way lower towards the 2014 low. Bears favour fresh 2014 lows and a shift lower in focus to the Nov 13 2013 high which is now noted as support. Bulls need to see a close above the 21-DMA to ease the current bearish pressure while a close above the 200-DMa is needed to shift focus higher once more.

RES 4: A$1.4924 – Falling daily trend line
RES 3: A$1.4872 – 200-DMA
RES 2: A$1.4840 – 21-DMA
RES 1: A$1.4798 – High May 9
LPRICE: A$1.4690
SUP 1: A$1.4654 – 2014 low Apr 10
SUP 2: A$1.4644 – 21 day lower Bollinger band
SUP 3: A$1.4618 – 55-WMA
SUP 4: A$1.4476 – High Nov 13 now support

USD/KRW continued to make fresh 2014 lows to end last week and has again struggled Monday. Bulls continue to look for a close above the previous 2014 low at Krw1030.1 to confirm an easing of bearish pressure with a close above Krw1042.0 confirming a break of the 21-DMA and shifting immediate focus to the Krw1050.6 level. Daily studies are approaching O/S levels which may begin to limit downside follow through.

RES 4: Krw1042.0 – High Apr 22
RES 3: Krw1034.8 – 21-DMA
RES 2: Krw1034.4 – Low Apr 17 now resistance
RES 1: Krw1030.1 – Previous 2014 low Apr 30 now resistance
LPRICE: Krw1024.3
SUP 1: Krw1020.9 – 2014 low May 8
SUP 2: Krw995.6 – Monthly low July 10 2008
SUP 3: Krw971.3 – Monthly Low Apr 7 2008
SUP 4: Krw955.9 – Low Mar 7 2008

Sideways trading within a broad Sgd1.2450-1.2520 range continues for the USD/SGD with bears favouring a retest of the 2014 lows while the Sgd1.2520-27 region caps. Bulls need a close above the 21-DMA to hint at a bigger bounce back towards the layers of resistance in the Sgd1.2595-1.2602 region where the 55 & 200-DMA’s are located. Daily studies are hinting at a correction from O/S levels which may limit downside follow through.

RES 4: Sgd1.2595 – High Apr 25
RES 3: Sgd1.2570 – High Apr 30 & May 2
RES 2: Sgd1.2527 – 21-DMA
RES 1: Sgd1.2520 – Hourly resistance May 5
LPRICE: Sgd1.2505
SUP 1: Sgd1.2450 – 2014 low Apr 9
SUP 2: Sgd1.2425 – Low Nov 19 2013
SUP 3: Sgd1.2406 – Low Nov 5 2013
SUP 4: Sgd1.2342 – Monthly low Oct 23 2013