Asian Currencies Technicals

AUD/USD has again remained capped on bounces ahead of the 21-DMA. The aussie looks set for further sideways trading within a $0.8820-0.8955 range with a break lower seeing immediate focus shift to retests of the $0.8756-83 region where the long term falling weekly channel base and Aug 25 2010 monthly lows are found. A close above the $0.8994 level is needed to shift immediate focus to the $0.9167 level.
R 4: $0.9167 – Monthly high Dec 10
R 3: $0.9075 – High Dec 12
R 2: $0.8994 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 1: $0.8955 – 21 day moving average
Latest price: $0.8915
S 1: $0.8820 – 2013 Low Dec 18
S 2: $0.8783 – 21 day lower Bollinger band
S 3: $0.8771 – Monthly Low Aug 25 2010
S 4: $0.8756 – Falling weekly channel base

NZD/USD is again bouncing from dips below the 200-DMA with the pair having bounced from the 21 day lower Bollinger band on Thursday. Correcting oversold daily slow stochastics are suggesting further tests of the recent highs with a close above $0.8236 now needed to confirm a clean break of the 21-DMA and daily channel top. A close below $0.8113 is needed to reconfirm bearish focus.

R 4: $0.8310 – 21 day upper Bollinger band
R 3: $0.8287 – High Dec 16
R 2: $0.8236 – High Dec 31
R 1: $0.8227 – 21 day moving average
Latest price: $0.8180
S 1: $0.8143 – 21 day lower Bollinger band
S 2: $0.8113 – Low Dec 30
S 3: $0.8084 – Low Sept 12
S 4: $0.8036 – 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.7724-0.8541

AUD/NZD: Lingering bearish pressure saw the pair retest the NZ$1.0800 support level before bouncing to marginally trade above the 21-DMA (NZ$1.0885). Resistance in the NZ$1.0915-50 region remains integral to any further topside with a close above needed to see focus shift higher to retests of the NZ$1.1035-70 region. A close below the NZ$1.0800 region is now needed to reconfirm bearish focus and target 2013 lows

R 4: NZ$1.1070 – High Dec 6
R 3: NZ$1.1035 – 21 day upper Bollinger band
R 2: NZ$1.0950 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 1: NZ$1.0915 – High Dec 25
Latest price: NZ$1.0889
S 1: NZ$1.0800 – Low Dec 31
S 2: NZ$1.0728 – 2013 Low Dec 19
S 3: NZ$1.0492 – 2005 Low Dec 7 2005
S 4: NZ$1.0426 – 2005 Low Dec 5 2005

After having taken out the falling daily channel top AUD/JPY is correcting after failing ahead of the Y94.40-59 region. A close above the Y94.59 level is needed to confirm a break of this resistance region while a close back below the Y92.79 support remains needed to re-ignite the previous bearish pressure, confirm a break of the 21-DMA and target Dec monthly lows. Correcting daily tech studies are threatening a bearish cross which will weigh.

R 4: Y95.67 – Monthly high Oct 22
R 3: Y94.59 – Monthly high Nov 20
R 2: Y94.39 – 21 day upper Bollinger band
R 1: Y94.09 – High Dec 31
Latest price: Y93.24
S 1: Y93.07 – Low Dec 30
S 2: Y93.00 – 21 day moving average
S 3: Y92.79 – Low Dec 23
S 4: Y92.48 – Hourly support Dec 20

EUR/AUD has dipped below the A$1.5286 support before bouncing back above and as a result we favour a deeper correction that initially targets the A$1.5176 Dec 12 low while the A$1.5382 level that previously supported caps. The A$1.5005 support remains key with a close below ending bullish hopes and seeing the pair targeting a return to the A$1.4560 breakout level from late Nov. A close at fresh 2013 highs is now needed to kick start bullish momentum

R 4: A$1.5620 – 21 day upper Bollinger band
R 3: A$1.5597 – 2013 high Dec 27
R 2: A$1.5495 – High Dec 31
R 1: A$1.5382 – Low Dec 31
Latest price: A$1.5323
S 1: A$1.5176 – Low Dec 12
S 2: A$1.5033 – 21 day lower Bollinger band
S 3: A$1.5005 – Low Dec 5
S 4: A$1.4799 – Monthly Low Dec 2

After having traded at fresh 2013 and multi-year lows on Tuesday USD/KRW bounced back towards the 21-DMA. A close above the 21-DMA is needed to relieve the immediate bearish pressure that is now targeting the Krw973.7 Apr 2008 monthly low. The 21 day lower Bollinger band comes in around Krw1048.3 and with closes below a rarity downside follow through could be limited for now. Overall above Krw1065.7 is needed to shift focus higher

R 4: Krw1075.6 – Monthly high Nov 12
R 3: Krw1074.7 – 100 day moving average
R 2: Krw1070.2 – High Nov 14
R 1: Krw1065.7 – High Nov 27
Latest price: Krw1053.9
S 1: Krw1049.8 – Low Jan 1
S 2: Krw1048.3 – 21 day lower Bollinger band
S 3: Krw1047.3 – 2013 low Dec 31
S 4: Krw973.7 – Monthly Low Apr 7 2008

USD/SGD: The sharp bounce has stalled ahead of layers of resistance in the Sgd1.2712-58 region with a move back towards the initial support at Sgd1.2609 remaining favoured. Overbought daily tech studies continue to head lower and are favouring further downside despite the break back above the Sgd1.2649 easing the immediate bearish focus. A close above the Sgd1.2712 level is needed to kick start bullish momentum and see focus return to the 2013 high.

R 4: Sgd1.2758 – High Sept 9
R 3: Sgd1.2750 – 21 day upper Bollinger band
R 2: Sgd1.2737 – 200 week moving average
R 1: Sgd1.2712 – High Sept 13
Latest price: Sgd1.2674
S 1: Sgd1.2609 – Low Dec 19
S 2: Sgd1.2599 – 21 day moving average
S 3: Sgd1.2681 – Previous daily resistance now support
S 4: Sgd1.2560 – 100 day moving average