Asian Currencies Technicals

AUD/USD followed up Wednesday’s bearish key day reversal with a continuation lower that paused just short of the $0.9568 support and the rising daily trend line off the Aug 30 low coming in around the same level on Thursday and Friday. Immediate focus remains on a test of the 21-DMA with a break lower ending bullish aspirations and seeing the aussie targeting a test of the $0.9221-86 support region with 55 and 100-DMA’s noted.
R 4: $0.9791 – Monthly high June 3
R 3: $0.9744 – 200 day moving average
R 2: $0.9679 – Previous daily resistance now support
R 1: $0.9624 – High Oct 25
Latest price: $0.9584
S 1: $0.9568 – Previous hourly resistance now support
S 2: $0.9502 – 21 day moving average
S 3: $0.9481 – Low Oct 15
S 4: $0.9390 – Low Oct 4

Lower high and low for the NZD/USD again Friday as the pair closed well below the 21-DMA ($0.8355). The close below has confirmed the current focus targeting a test of the layers of support in the $0.8158-0.8233 region with the 200-DMA noted at $0.8184. A close above the $0.8445 level remains needed to relieve the bearish pressure and see the pair targeting the $0.8555-82 region once more.

R 4: $0.8582 – Monthly high May 1
R 3: $0.8555 – High May 6
R 2: $0.8445 – High Oct 24
R 1: $0.8355 – 21 day moving average
Latest price: $0.8283
S 1: $0.8233 – Low Oct 10
S 2: $0.8202 – Low Oct 2
S 3: $0.8184 – 200 day moving average
S 4: $0.8158 – 55 day moving average

A bullish close for the AUD/NZD in NY Friday with the pair closing at the day’s high and just short of the NZ$1.1579 resistance. The close above the 100-DMA (NZ$1.1526) was the first since mid-March and adds support to the bullish case that has been favoured since the break above the NZ$1.1477 resistance last week. A test of the NZ$1.1748 July 11 high is favoured with a close below NZ$1.1431 needed to shift focus lower once more.

R 4: NZ$1.1895 – 200 day moving average
R 3: NZ$1.1748 – High July 11
R 2: NZ$1.1658 – Monthly High Sept 4
R 1: NZ$1.1579 – High Sept 6
Latest price: NZ$1.1564
S 1: NZ$1.1527 – Hourly support Oct 25
S 2: NZ$1.1431 – Low Oct 24
S 3: NZ$1.1388 – Low Oct 22
S 4: NZ$1.1345 – Alternating hourly support/resistance

Lower lows and highs for AUD/JPY again on Friday as the pair marginally dipped below the rising daily channel base before bouncing a little from just short of the 21-DMA. Immediate focus remains on tests of the 21-DMA and rising daily trend line with a close below the Y92.39 support needed to confirm a break of the 21-DMA and see the immediate focus shift to layers of support in the YY90.67-91.40 region

R 4: Y95.67 – High Oct 22
R 3: Y94.73 – 200 day moving average
R 2: Y94.34 – High Oct 24
R 1: Y93.71 – High Oct 25
Latest price: Y93.59
S 1: Y92.93 – 21 day moving average
S 2: Y92.39 – Hourly support Oct 16
S 3: Y92.14 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Y86.43-95.67
S 4: Y91.09 – 55 day moving average

EUR/AUD: After breaking and closing above the 21-DMA last Thursday it found support ahead of this level to end the week as it closed above the 100-DMA (A$1.4386). Initial resistance remains in the A$1.4453-65 region but the current focus remains on a test of the key A$1.4558 level. A close below the 21-DMA is needed to relieve the immediate bullish pressure while back below the Oct 24 low is needed to shift overall focus lower

R 4: A$1.4757 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 3: A$1.4558 – High Sept 4 & 27
R 2: A$1.4465 – High Oct 7
R 1: A$1.4453 – 55 day moving average
Latest price: A$1.4397
S 1: A$1.4329 – 21 day moving average
S 2: A$1.4268 – Low Oct 24
S 3: A$1.4128 – Low Oct 21
S 4: A$1.3956 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.2222-1.5028

USD/KRW: The previous bearish pressure was relieved a little following the bounce from ahead of the 2013 low, correcting oversold daily tech studies and the close above the Krw1060.0 level. A close above the 21-DMA remains needed to see focus shift higher to layers of resistance in the Krw1081.1-1091.1 region including the falling daily channel top and 55-DMA. A close below the 2013 low is needed to reconfirm bearish focus.

R 4: Krw1087.2 – 55 day moving average
R 3: Krw1085.5 – Falling daily channel top
R 2: Krw1081.1 – Previous daily support now resistance
R 1: Krw1068.8 – 21 day moving average
Latest price: Krw1063.4
S 1: Krw1054.5 – 2013 low Jan 11
S 2: Krw1049.5 – Falling daily channel base
S 3: Krw1048.3 – 2011 low Aug 1
S 4: Krw1040.1 – Previous daily resistance now support

Following the heavy NY close Thursday USD/SGD headed back towards recent lows on Friday with immediate focus on a test of the May 10 low. A close back above the Sgd1.2434 level remains needed to relieve the bearish focus that is currently targeting an overall test of the May monthly low. Overall a close above the Sgd1.2541 level remains needed to confirm a break of the 200-DMA and shift overall focus back to the Sgd1.2649 resistance.

R 4: Sgd1.2525 – 200 day moving average
R 3: Sgd1.2496 – High Oct 11
R 2: Sgd1.2464 – High Oct 16
R 1: Sgd1.2434 – High Oct 22
Latest price: Sgd1.2358
S 1: Sgd1.2330 – Low May 10
S 2: Sgd1.2268 – Monthly low May 9
S 3: Sgd1.2224 – Low Jan 10
S 4: Sgd1.2198 – 2013 Low Jan 2