Daily FX Technical Strategy: USD/CAD nascent bid

Along with commodities that are under pressure once again this morning, inflationary expectations (as measured by the US 10yr breakevens) continue to drop. The turn lower from multi-year range highs in US 10yr breakeven rates also coincides with equity pullbacks and this remains supportive of a corrective move and profit taking for the time being. Commodity currencies remain marginally bearish and price action has yet to suggest that a stronger move is taking hold in FX space. USD/CAD is aiming at its year-to-date highs near 1.0340; it would take a decisive break above this level as an indication that the USD is catching a stronger bid.

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