Technical Analysis – FX Daily Majors – August 1

Today’s highlights:

USD/JPY: Again quickly below and back above key wedge support from 2008 hints at a bottom ahead of the 76.25 all time low.  Only though 78.55/75 signals a better basing

USD/CHF: Cautious bounce after aggressive extension to our Fibonacci objective at .7845.  A move back above .8048 minimally required to even hint at a base; .8278 needed for a firmer tone.  We see risk still lower

EUR/USD: Bullish “outside” Friday negated similar pattern from Wednesday to underscore erratic consolidation theme.  Risk higher this morning to 1.4471; overshoot threat early this week to key 1.4520/37 area

GBP/USD: Aggressive Friday “outside” pattern from 1.6262 support prodding 1.6444/72 to aim at our August retracement/chart target at 1.6541/49; overshoot risk the 2011 peak, 1.6748

Today’s trades:

EUR/USD: Short, reverse to long at 1.4356 or above 1.4420 for 1.4519

USD/JPY: Long at 77.61 for 79.58; exit 76.19

GBP/USD: Long through 1.6385 for 1.6533; exit 1.6255

USD/CHF: Retry short at .8039 for .7754; exit .8163

AUD/USD: Long at 1.0954 for 1.1191; exit 1.0894

NZD/USD: Retry long at .8530 for .8900; exit .8412

USD/CAD: Short at .9513 for .9276; exit .9651

 

Click here to read the full report:

http://www.easyforexnews.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/document-804275540.pdf

 

Credit Suisse
FIXED INCOME RESEARCH & ANALYTICS