Tag Archives: S&P
FX Daily
The most important release is euro area money supply and credit growth for April.At the ECB-forum in Sintra ECB-president Draghi in his speech Monday appearedconcerned about banks’ capacity to increase loans.
FI Eye-Opener: Equity markets continue to party
Core bond yields initially climbed higher yesterday, but more dovish ECB comments and violence in Ukraine coupled with rumours that Russian forces would have crossed the border spurred demand for bonds again.
EUR/USD over 1.3675 would target 1.3730 before down
EUR/USD: Over 1.3675 targets 1.3730 before down. There is an ongoing attempt to recover partial losses. A move over the 8day “Tenkan-Sen” (1.3675) would target 1.3730\34 before down again.
FX Daily
In the data calendar the focus will mainly be on US data. Durable goods orders forApril should give us an idea of the strength of the rebound in business capitalexpenditure in Q2.
FI Eye-Opener: Post-election rally in the periphery
Longer German bond yields edged slightly higher yesterday and the curve steepened, but trading volumes were very subdued due to the US and UK holidays.
FX Daily
Financial markets will digest the outcome of the EU-election. We expect the marketimpact to be limited despite strong gains for anti-EU parties.
FX: final call, EURUSD
The EURUSD tapped the 200D MA, but still needs to confirm on higher volume. The USD uptrend has begun? Not if USDCHF stalls here.
Weekly CFTC Trader Positioning Data
FX volatility is low and positioning is relatively light, even in carrytrades that typically thrive in low vol environments. Most positionsare close to flat, and even large positions,
Positive $ index break. EUR/PLN fell out of bed
EUR/USD: With a still persisting hourly RSI divergence, the price outside the 55d ma Bollinger and with the still firm 1.3635 support we cannot but read the setup as supportive to the 1.3730 bounce suggested yesterday.
FX Daily
German IFO and US new home sales will be the main data to watch. We look for a small rise in the German IFO, pointing to continued robust growth inGermany.
FI EYE-OPENER: Spreads widen more
The Bundesbank warns carry-chasers Spread widening continues for e.g. Italien govies The EURUSD FX is in a wait-and-see position This afternoon, minutes from FOMC and Yellen speaks Bank of Japan refrains from adding even more stimulus