Tag Archives: SEK

Sweden: Q1 GDP beats forecasts

Swedish GDP was much stronger than expected in the beginning of the year. GDP rose by a full 0.6% q/q.

Riksbank has to consider a 50bp cut

• Negative on risk sentiment • Still bullish on EUR/SEK • We remain bearish on EUR/USD, but note rising risks

Markets correct on expected Fed policy changes

Last week saw a substantial correction in equity markets, particularly in Japan. Although according to several press comments,

FX Quant and Positioning Weekly

Speculators loading up on short EUR contracts Price based indicators • FX-O-meters: AUD/USD down and EUR/AUD up are the strongest trends but also the most stretched currency pairs.

SEK could be exposed short term

Risk of further krona weakness Our call for a relatively weak Swedish GDP number on 29 May does not bode well for Swedish krona over the next couple of weeks.

New macro projections – no stop to QE3 2013

The global economy remains impacted by a clear divergence in growth rates. We see no reason to expect anything other than a very cautious Euro-zone recovery going forward,

FX G10/EM Morning Trader Views

EUR – Well eur finally came lower yesterday, playing catch-up to the broader usd strength theme.

FX Blueprint

– Green Back: Buy USD TWI: Sell EUR/USD – USD/JPY to Step Up Again: Buy USD/JPY

Central banks in focus – speculative flows driving markets

– Risk appetite has surged after the latest (positive) NFP number and USD has strengthened on the contrary to its more common negative correlation with risk appetite.

SEK in a hundred years

– Current value of the SEK close to 1913-2013 average. – Competitiveness and purchasing power at normal levels in a historical perspective. Thus, no major need for the SEK to correct.

FX G10/EM Morning Trader Views

EUR – Frustration again yesterday for eur bears with a retest below 1.2950 met with corp and longer term demand.

FX Daily Strategist: US

EUR downside remains well supported. German data adds to constructive tone. EURUSD came under some initial pressure after ECB president Draghi re-iterated his comments from last week’s