Tag Archives: JPY

Altering our FX forecasts to reflect longer-duration weakness in the USD

We have decided to fundamentally change our USD view. We now donot expect the USD to significantly strengthen until the real Fed Fundsrate turns positive in early 2016 (chart 1).

JPY Mid-day Analysis

A range down washout in the Yen is partly the result of acceptable Chinese and Japanese economic databut also because of suggestions from the BOJ that capital expenditures are starting to rise and

JPY Mid-day Analysis

Ongoing consolidation within a range bound by 98.00 and 98.72. Sagging Chinese economic expectationsand hints of more easing from the BOJ probably leaves the bear camp with a slight edge.

JPY Mid-day Analysis

A loss of upside momentum in the Yen has resulted in significant consolidation resistance left up around the98.72 level. We can’t argue against a near term decline to recent consolidation support of

The Week Ahead in FX

In the week ahead, market watchers will be focusing on speeches by Fed Chair Janet Yellen, as well as reports on U.S. retail sales and housing starts.

JPY Mid-day Analysis

The Yen remains within striking distance of its recent highs but it has clearly lost upside momentum overthe last 24 hours. With the 98.78 level seen as a significant consolidation high zone for

JPY Mid-day Analysis

The Yen retains a slightly positive tilt into the Thursday US trade but we suspect that the market will beginto run into significant overhead resistance up at 98.80.

JPY Mid-day Analysis

The BOJ’s post-meeting comments provided the catalyst for the Yen’s updraft on Tuesday, but the marketclearly got ahead of itself without the benefit of fresh risk headlines to fuel safe-haven flows.

JPY Mid-day Analysis

Weakness in the Dollar combined with positive BOJ dialogue overnight has launched the Yen into a freshupside extension. With the initial rise above the 97.50 level and

JPY Mid-day Analysis

The Yen has fallen back from its recent highs in the wake of disappointing Japanese leading indicatorreadings. In fact, press outlets are touting the Japanese leaders as the softest readings since the sub-prime crisis and

The Week Ahead in FX

In the week ahead, markets will be focusing on Wednesday’s minutes of the Fed’s most recent policy setting meeting. Monetary policy meetings by the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also be closely watched.

Weekly CFTC Trader Positioning Data

On a year-to-date basis the USD has weakened against all of theprimary currencies (with the exception of CAD) accordingly long USD positions have been frustrating.