Tag Archives: EUR/NZD

FX: party on

ECB won’t kill EUR, as capital flow to resume. The USD staged a sharp reversal down last week, and wage growth stuck at 2% suggests – no Fed funds repricing imminent yet, but…

Daily FX Wrap and Strategy

The NZD led major currencies higher overnight, up 0.9%against the USD to just below 0.8500.Part of this can be laid at the feet of EUR’s rally after theECB policy announcement last night.

NZD Corporate FX Update

We’ve made no secret of our disappointment in the USD’s performance over Q1 2014. Last month, we pushed back our expectations of its eventual recovery into the second half of the year.

Financial Markets Wrap – May: Finally Cracking

– Global bond yields decline through May amid expectations that policy rates will remain low for longer.

Daily FX Wrap and Strategy

Crunch. The NZD was kicked lower overnight on the backof yet another dairy price decline. NZD/USD is the worstperforming major currency, down 0.3% at 0.8430.

Weekly Forex & Interest Rate Outlook

NZD/USD Outlook: Down this week Expectations the RBNZ will signal a pause in June should continue to weigh on NZD/USD until 12 June.

Weekly Commentary

While the New Zealand economy started the year at a rollingboil, it now appears to have slowed to a steady simmer.Even so, we think that markets are overestimating whatrecent developments means for interest rates.

Markets Outlook – Tight Is as Tight Does

If the Reserve Bank was hoping to see generally higher mortgage and deposit rates as a result of the start of its OCR tightening cycle, and accompanying talk of “normalisation” ahead, then it’s probably been sorely disappointed.

Weekly Forex & Interest Rate Outlook

NZD/USD Outlook: Down this week Expectations the RBNZ will signal a pause in June should continue to weigh on NZD/USD this week.

Weekly Commentary

A couple of weeks ago the high exchange rate and weakinflation pressure lead us to update our call on the timingof interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank this year.

Markets Outlook – Producer Prices Reflect Wider Inflation

With all of these global and domestic forces pulling this way and that, what does it all mean for the Reserve Bank’s OCR path? Generally speaking, we think it’s hard to tell.

Weekly Forex & Interest Rate Outlook

NZD/USD Outlook: Down this week Expectations the RBNZ will signal a pause in June are growing and should weigh on NZD/USD this week.