Tag Archives: China
China: What rebalancing?
The Chinese economy ended 2013 with a real growth rate of 7.7%, the same as in 2012. While this more than met the government’s full-year target of 7.5%, growth was soft by historical standards,
2013 Full Year New Home Sales In China Expected To Hit US$1 Trillion
China’s new home sales last year likely exceeded $1 trillion for the first time as property prices in cities the government considers first tier surged in the absence of more nationwide property curbs.
China Regulator Urges Banks To Reduce Short-term Borrowing
China’s banking regulator is pressuring banks to curb reliance on short-term borrowing and control risks from off-balance-sheet lending,
Risks & Drivers – Tapering our global growth forecasts
Positive growth signals continue to trickle out across the globaleconomy. The Eurozone economic recovery has stabilised, havingrecorded its second consecutive quarter of modest growth in Q3.
China Economic Comment – September 2013
There has been a large divergence in views over the future path of China’s monetary policy/stimulus over the medium term.
Asia Flash: China: CPI inflation risks may rise in Q2 12
We believe the risks of a re-acceleration in CPI inflation in Q2 12 can not be ignored. In the interim, we maintain our view of one reserve requirement ratio (rrr) cut by end-January and an additional 2 rrr cuts in H1 12.
HSBC: China CPI to ease further, RRR cut in weeks
December’s CPI and PPI numbers came broadly in line with market expectations. Despite a seasonal rebound of food prices, headline CPI eased yet again thanks to the continuous slowdown of non-food prices driven by a sharp deceleration of PPI. Prices are still likely to spike temporarily around the Chinese New Year, but the overall inflation […]
China: Easing cycle officially starts
PBoC surprised markets and us by announcing a 50bp reserve ratio cut, effective from 5 December. Today’s reserve ratio cut marks the official start of China’s monetary easing, in response to the noticeable slowdown of both the latest inflation and growth data.
Asia Flash: China PMI will rebound in November 2011
We are not worried about today’s weaker than anticipated China October 2011 PMI. We expect a rebound in November to around 51-52 as an initial estimate. Our leading indicator for growth is pointing towards an acceleration and worse case scenario of stability.
FX DAILY STRATEGIST: US – 17 Oct 2011
Eurozone optimism to be tested ahead of Sunday EU Summit The risk rally from last week continued into the Asian session with the G20 weekend meeting promoting expectations of a concrete plans to be put in place at the EU Summit on 23 October on the leveraging of the EFSF, European bank recapitalisations and details […]
Behavioral Finance: Daily Forex Outlook: Made in Italy – bought in China?
EUR/USD (1.3680) Against a backdrop of intense political debate over Greece, heightened tensions in the banking sector and continued European stock market declines, the euro struggled to find its feet yesterday. The selling, which ultimately dragged it below $1.35, was also accompanied by rising implied volatility.
Asia Flash: China – September rebound in economic activity intact
We maintain our core view that economic activity in China will rebound latest by September and stabilize in August. This is a very out of consensus view in light of recent market and global macro data turbulence. This view is based on our proprietary model of leading indicators for China. For details, please refer to […]