Tag Archives: CHF

Finding Value in FX Carry

Global FX carry trades, where one buys the highest interest rate currencies and sells thelowest interest rate currencies across G10 and EM, have had a torrid time since 2008.

CHF Mid-day Analysis

The Swiss looks damaged on the charts this morning. The failure to hold 1.1269 could facilitate technicalselling pressure later this morning, especially if US Durable goods readings come out on

CHF Mid-day Analysis

The Swiss appears to be in a vulnerable position this morning as safe haven issues have moderated andUS equities are showing some positive action.

CHF Mid-day Analysis

Negative chart action puts the Swiss in a position to see some knock on technically based selling ahead.Like the Euro, the Swiss is vulnerable to fresh hawkish US Fed dialogue and

The Week Ahead in FX

In the coming week, investors will be looking ahead to U.S. data from the housing sector, as well as reports on consumer confidence and durable goods.

CHF Mid-day Analysis

We thought the Swiss was priced for perfection into the March highs and therefore the correction thisweek isn’t surprising. It is also possible that proximity to

CHF Mid-day Analysis

Like the Euro, the Swiss has seen a distinct technical and fundamental reversal. Clearly the early Marchgains were overstated in the Swiss,

CHF Mid-day Analysis

Like the Euro, the Swiss looks a little expensive on the charts. In our opinion, the Swiss has seen aconsistent pattern of favorable news events. In addition to buying off the Crimean situation over the last twoweeks,

CHF Mid-day Analysis

The Swiss might be the primary benefactor of a pause in US tapering, as the Swiss saw very positivelonger term economic projections from Swiss officials overnight.

CHF Mid-day Analysis

Like the Euro, the Swiss feels technically overbought and perhaps even somewhat fundamentallyoverdone. With the June Swiss at times last week adding to a rather significant early March rally and

Markets Viewpoint: Crimean referendum – discounted by markets but nervousness remains

The Crimean referendum delivered the expected result: A Yes to join Russia. Financial markets had already prepared themselves for this outcome during last week.

The Week Ahead in FX

In the week ahead, investors will be looking ahead to Wednesday’s monetary policy announcement by the Federal Reserve. The bank is also to publish its economic forecasts.