Tag Archives: BUND

FI Eye-Opener: You better not be bluffing, ECB

Longer German bond yields continued to rise yesterday and the curve steepened some more.

ECB has the potential to surprise

Market movers ahead • Lower inflation in the euro area has also strengthened our expectations that the ECB will deliver an aggressive easing move at Thursday’s meeting.

USD/JPY & AUD/USD sellers should be tempted to step back in

EURUSD: Buyers responded at a marginally fresh low yesterday, butalso showed resistance respect.

FI Eye-Opener: Increasingly hard to dismiss deflation risks

Bonds continued to take a hit yesterday on both sides of the Atlantic and curves bear-steepened. The German 10-year yield leaped by some 4bp,

Dollar strength!

EURUSD: A bearish candle as a continuation pattern was added yesterday. It also persistent dynamic resistance with the 8day “Tenkan-Sen” (blue line in the chart).

FI Eye-Opener: The truth is out there – finally

Bond yields rose yesterday and curves steepened, modestly in German yields but more so in the US. The US 10-year yield leaped 5bp, bringing the yield back to above 2.50% (but only to levels seen early last week).

ECB preview: Even a package deal not enough to sustain a bond rally

There can be little doubt the ECB will provide a whole package of easing measures in its meeting on Thursday, including rate cuts, liquidity measures and a conditional LTRO.

AUD turning lower. SEK weakness takes a short pause

EURUSD: On a grander scale May probably became the turning pointfor the common currency given that the monthly candlebecame a very bearish key month reversal one arguing formore losses on a 3-4 months horizon.

FI Eye-Opener: Huge week ahead

The week starts with good news from China, as the official PMI rose to 50.8 in May (from 50.4 in April). The report showed a braod-based recovery in manufacturing activity.

FX: price matters

Inflation is this week’s theme: May HICP and ECB’s revisions are key for EUR. The Market is sceptical about higher Fed funds rate projections, but a pickup in wage growth would cause repricing…

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary

U.S. Review Economy Contracts in Q1, Stronger Growth Ahead • Revised Q1 GDP figures showed that the economy contracted 1.0 percent,

FI Eye-Opener: Bonds still in demand for a while

Core bonds continued to rally hard on Wednesday, and the rally initially continued yesterday, before yields rebounded. The US 10-year yield touched 2.40% yesterday, before rebounding to around 2.47% currently.