Forex Charts

Technical Analysis: Technical Alert

Main event seems to be weaker commodities with precious metals continuing taking a hit after the key day reversals Tuesday (CAD looks especially vulnerable, see triangle in yday TA), Dollar steady, Euro steady unless EURGBP which has a case for a continued surge,

FX Techs: London Open

At a glance: Faint hope rising The fact that the leading German equity index (DAX) couldn’t be impressed by another very bad ZEW number yesterday shows an increasing resilience and highlights the oversold market conditions for risk on a bigger scale. Given that the S&P 500 additionally managed to close above an internal 38.2 % […]

Technical Analysis – FX Daily Majors

Today’s highlights: EUR/USD: Rebound results in a break above 1.4453; however, medium-term trading range still remains intact, and while below 1.4518/37/79 resistance risk is to 1.4150 GBP/USD: Topping structure continues to unfold after the market failed at 1.6573, below the 1.6619 high. We still look for a breakdown through 1.6422 support for 1.6300

JPM FX Techs: Sydney/Asia Open

At a glance: With equity markets pushing higher, high beta currencies outperformed yesterday but still within the confines of the recent ranges. Again, with the two-sided action and current themes still intact, additional range action seems likely to persist seemingly into Friday’s event risk.

Technical Analysis – FX Daily Majors

Today’s highlights: EUR/USD: Yesterday’s failure ahead of the 1.4453 resistance hurdle keeps the short-term bias lower to 1.4259/32 chart/38.2% Fibonacci retracement support zone GBP/USD: Decline continues after reversal from 1.6619 resistance. Risk today is for a break through 1.6422 trend support, which would in turn complete a top and expose 1.6300

Technical Analysis – FX Daily Majors

Today’s highlights: USD/JPY: Friday’s prod below the key prior support zone at 76.31/30/25 hints at extended losses towards next support at 74.80. GBP/USD: Bearish reversal from 1.6619 resistance on Friday hints at a top. Through 1.6422 completes, and implies a correction back to 1.6300 channel support.

FX Techs: London Open

At a glance: Smile because it could be worse… Market participants were wondering yesterday, why risk markets are selling off that hard as there was no obvious reason to argue for such a massive sell-off. This argument is obviously strictly following the idea that markets have to be reasonable at all times and neglects the […]

Global Technical Watch – Quick Charts (Aug 19)

The S&P 500’s percentage gains/losses from late 2002 to 2008 are strikingly similar to the magnitudes traced since the index’s 2009 low. As such, we are closely monitoring the lows of last week near 1100, which also coincide with retracement support; a break below this level would suggest that another wave of risk reduction is […]

Technical Analysis: Technical Alert: Mr. Soldoff was here – Mr. Riskoff is still around

Risk sentiment is still sour to say the least… In this environment the euro is hurt (against JPY, GBP & CHF) and in a stalemate tug-of-war against the dollar… Though scandies and EMs underperform in the “flight back home with what you got abroad”… Bonds keep scoring and stocks look ugly… OMX likely moving into […]

Daily FX Technical Strategy – Selective risk appetite

While many markets try to stabilise, commodities are finding a small bid. Crude oil has posted higher lows consistently since basing last week and base metals are holding up, with the laggard of the complex, aluminium posting a key reversal day amid bullish momentum divergence.

FX Techs: London Open

At a glance: Inconclusive While risk markets are treading water at or below internal 38.2 % retracement’s without providing new evidence where to head next, market participants are still scratching their heads in terms of how to evaluate the French-German summit or the SNB’s decision not to peg the CHF, but to extend their interventions […]

Technical Analysis – FX Daily Majors

Today’s highlights: EUR/USD: Failure to sustain gains into the close suggests a correction back towards 1.4325, but while above here the bias is still to 1.4698/1.4707. USD/JPY: Downside break from triangle pattern exposes 76.31/30/25 key support, but this looks to be holding once again. Through 77.11 implies a bounce to 77.82. GBP/USD: Break above 78.6% […]