Forex Charts
Daily FX Technical Strategy – Range highs under pressure
The risk revival gained traction yesterday. Activity was greater than we were expecting as some markets, like rates, broke decisively lower. As the European equity markets approach their recent range highs and the breakout levels above, the going is likely to get tougher for the risk revival.
Technical Analysis – FX Daily Majors
Today’s highlights: EUR/USD: Decisive upside breakout leaves risk higher for the week, but today we expect some consolidation back to throwback/trend support placed at 1.3525. GBP/USD: Market remains under pressure, with the focus remaining on the key support cluster at 76.16/11/75.95.
Technical Analysis: Technical Alert: Europhoria boosts risk appetite – but will it last?
EURUSD and other USD pairs may extend the recent move somewhat, but dollar weakness is likely still just a patch… 1.3937 is key in EURUSD and first support is found at 1.3525…
Technical Analysis: Technical Alert
Key question for the week; extending or ending the corrections? Many markets have arrived or are close to arriving at primary correction targets hence the need of monitoring them more closely.
CEEMEA trade: CZK – safe but cyclical, add long EUR/CZK
We have been positive on the Czech Republic since the beginning of August via FX unhedged long CZGBs. The main reason for our bullish stance was the regional safe heaven status and very solid fundamental backdrop.
TRY: Time to buy
The lira depreciation now appears excessive The combination of central bank policy and the reduction in external imbalances should lead to a stronger currency USD-TRY may move back to 1.70
HSBC: Currencies: Technical Analysis: Winner winner chicken dinner
Asian sentiment is quite depressed. But evidence from the relative performance of Macau casino stocks suggests that at least an interim low in Asian equity indices is close. The anticipated decline in Asian FX is nearing the end of the first phase and Japanese bond yields continue to provide evidence of being one of the […]
Global Technical Watch – Quick Charts (Oct 7)
Heading into NFP, the outlook for equities continues to improve. The recent outperformance of the DAX and CAC40 against the S&P 500 has been impressive and both these markets appear to be on the verge of completing basing patterns.
Technical Analysis – FX Daily Majors
Today’s highlights: EUR/USD: Bear gap closed and a bullish “outside” pattern aims for a better base through 13-day EMA, 1.3483, with the trend line key at 1.3525. The latter is needed for a firmer base GBP/USD: Neutral “outside” Thursday after “inside” Wednesday underscores indecision. Probe below key 1.5296 swing low leaves October risk lower to […]
Technical Analysis: Technical Alert
Basically more of the same as yesterday. EUR on a slightly better footing but approaching potential points. Equities still leading the correction race. EURUSD entered its primary correction target, EURJPY trying a resistance line, AUD potentially extending rise to 0.99, GBP index tanked after BOE and is expected to continue along that path,
HSBC: Currencies: Technical Analysis: 1.3400 EUR-USD the key
EUR/USD 1.3400 is a key short to medium term pivot point. If the market can consolidate above last weekend’s gap level then a bigger rally should develop. If it continues to act as resistance though it will confirm that the wave cycle is still bearish. 1170 is a similar important pivot in the S&P 500.
Daily FX Technical Strategy – Sentiment remains pessimistic ahead of event risk
Event risk over the next two days has the potential to reopen fault lines in financial markets. Despite a reprieve for risk over the last 48 hours, with EM currencies in particular showing some signs of promise for next week, the negative outlook elsewhere has barely changed.
