Forex Charts

AUDNZD – breaking 1.0490 supports a continuation towards 1.0330/1.01

AUDNZD spent the year correcting the 2012/13 decline with a large wave-(4) consolidation.

EURUSD – 3-wave rally leads to new 5-wave decline; target 1.2227

The thrust out of the triangle was short-lived and failed well below our minimum 1.27 target.

USDJPY – 5-wave rally targeting 120.35/45; next key is 119.10

With an A-B-C decline complete the path of least resistance is now higher for $JPY.

FX Daily

In terms of data releases we have a quiet day ahead of us.

FX Daily

The German IFO expectations are due for release and we look for another positive surprise.

FX Daily

At the meeting tonight, we expect the FOMC to remove considerable time from the statement,

FX Daily

In the euro area we expect higher PMI figures,

FX Daily

Today focus will be on US data with the release of industrial production.

USDJPY – a break of 117.25/05 would resolve a head & shoulders top

Prices obliged our call for a correction higher to 119.15/60 yesterday and

EURUSD – wave-(2) correction satisfied; wave-(3) targets 1.2618/2772

To recap, the falling wedge from October fits well as a wave-5 and that means Euro is starting a corrective countertrend rally.

FX Daily

LTRO repayments are due around noon. Banks took EUR130bn yesterday on the second TLTRO but

USDJPY – wave-A satisfied; wave-B correction can test 119.15/60

Prices clearly broke into and tested the low end of the congestion zone near 117.25.