Forex Analysis

Central European Daily

Czech and Polish current accounts improve significantly The Hungarian government unveils a new levy on banks As we had expected the Czech koruna shrugged off the recent political turmoil,

Morning FX Market Commentary

Currencies: Dollar holding near the recent lows The dollar is still hurt by uncertainty on the fate of the Fed’s bond buying programme.

FX Daily

Market movers today • US housing starts and permits. Following the strong rise in the NAHB housing index yesterday it seems the somewhat softer housing activity data are behind us.

The 18-19 June FOMC meeting remains a key focus in financial markets

USD positioning ahead of the 18-19 June FOMC meeting remains a key focus in financial markets.

USD/JPY Analysis

The pair was tied to a narrow Y94.80-95.00 range for the majority of the session before climbing to Y95.22 after a G8 statement that endorsed Japanese policy in the short term.

GBP/USD Analysis

The pair took out the $1.5750 barrier and lifted to 4 month highs of $1.5753, before profit take supply and fast money sales pared gains.

EUR/USD Analysis

The pair closed in NY Monday at $1.3370. The rate tied to a narrow $1.3328-59 range for the majority of the session,

RBA Board Minutes – June 2013

• RBA maintains a somewhat more muted easing bias, saying low inflation “might” provide scope to cut the cash rate if “required to support demand”.

FOMC preview: Once again Bernanke faces a communication challenge

Bernanke to repeat his message – maybe markets will listen this time The forward-looking parts of the FOMC statement are likely to remain unchanged but the description of current developments might see some changes.

Mid-Day FX Market Analysis

USD: The Dollar has been fairly subdued to start out this new trading week, but was able to grind out a modest gain coming into this morning’s session.

Pre SNB: Remaining sidelined

At its June meeting we expect the SNB Governing Board to: • Retain its monetary policy stance

Fitting together nicely

Big Picture: Data released last week is consistent with our view that the largest economies are in the early stages of acceleration.