Russia flows and eod

Basket trades very range-bound for the 2nd day within 35.72/80, while rates slide down on better local RUB supply. Looks like the street getting long the currency now after a period of being flat since the end of October. The curve is down by about 10bps, mainly one biggest local was selling fx swaps up to 6m in size, we paid some in the very front as expect next week to see tighter funding on tax payments period.

RUSSIA’S IGNATYEV SAYS OCT NET CAPITAL OUTFLOW AT $13 BLN (NOT $14 BLN), OUTFLOW CONTINUES IN NOVEMBER AT SLOWER PACE
RUSSIA’S C.BANK CHAIRMAN IGNATYEV SAYS YEAR-END INFLATION MAY EXCEED 7 PCT ON PASS-THROUGH FROM ROUBLE’S DEPRECIATION
RUSSIA’S IGNATYEV SAYS WILL PRIORITISE PRICE STABILITY IN 2012, BUT IF GLOBAL SITUATION WEAKENS WILL ENSURE FINANCIAL  STABILITY
RUSSIA’S IGNATYEV SEES NO SEVERE LIQUIDITY STRAINS FOR THE REST OF THE YEAR AND IN EARLY 2012

RUN

Tenor
Value
Swap Points
Implied Yield
3m Fwd
NDF
Basket NDF
1w
28-Nov-11
302
325
5.28
5.62
6.40
30.8802
30.8825
35.7602
35.7631
1m
21-Dec-11
1,398
1,477
5.76
5.97
6.49
30.9898
30.9977
35.8878
35.8972
2m
23-Jan-12
3,048
3,130
6.03
6.13
6.53
31.1548
31.1630
36.0886
36.0991
3m
21-Feb-12
4,495
4,580
6.29
6.36
6.39
31.2995
31.3080
36.2608
36.2716
6m
21-May-12
8,767
8,917
6.39
6.44
6.33
31.7267
31.7417
36.7682
36.7880
9m
21-Aug-12
13,128
13,295
6.42
6.48
6.40
32.1628
32.1795
37.2882
37.3104
1y
21-Nov-12
17,578
17,828
6.48
6.53
6.54
32.6078
32.6328
37.8168
37.8501
18m
21-May-13
26,283
27,117
6.46
6.56
6.46
33.4783
33.5617
38.8405
38.9481
2y
21-Nov-13
36,267
37,200
6.57
6.67
6.79
34.4767
34.5700
39.9915
40.1214

Spot and Rates
USDRUB
30.8500
BSKRUB
35.7283

 

BARCLAYS CAPITAL