Russia flows and eod

Correction day, which Basket closing 35.55/60 notch higher from the general level 54/57 it was trading whole day long after the morning RUB sell-off. Curve trades somewhat steeper as international seen on the bid for DV, while locals offer front dates placing RUB at 6%+ handle. Day is very quiet flow-wise and action-wise, market definitely watching the development of the euro story and fomc minutes ahead of any re-positioning. Other assets follow the path in line with other markets, equities down by circa 2% hammering blue chips most.

RUN

Tenor
Value
Swap Points
Implied Yield
3m Fwd
NDF
Basket NDF
1w
08-Nov-11
325
345
5.80
6.14
6.23
30.2538
30.2558
35.6384
35.6410
1m
01-Dec-11
1,370
1,470
5.76
6.16
6.27
30.3583
30.3683
35.7571
35.7696
2m
10-Jan-12
3,270
3,370
6.01
6.18
6.26
30.5483
30.5583
35.9776
35.9902
3m
01-Feb-12
4,350
4,450
6.15
6.28
6.17
30.6563
30.6663
36.1026
36.1154
6m
02-May-12
8,620
8,820
6.17
6.31
6.12
31.0833
31.1033
36.6015
36.6271
9m
01-Aug-12
12,925
13,125
6.22
6.31
6.08
31.5138
31.5338
37.1051
37.1311
1y
01-Nov-12
17,275
17,575
6.25
6.35
6.28
31.9488
31.9788
37.6136
37.6520
18m
02-May-13
26,600
27,100
6.26
6.36
6.27
32.8813
32.9313
38.6912
38.7621
2y
01-Nov-13
36,000
36,700
6.28
6.39
6.64
33.8213
33.8913
39.7621
39.8598

Spot and Rates
USDRUB
30.2213
BSKRUB
35.6040

 

BARCLAYS CAPITAL
ECONOMICS RESEARCH | INSTANT INSIGHTS