HK FX Wrap, Orderbook & Flows, USD/Asia run and Key Levels

1) Overnight Wrap

A  quieter session overnight with little news of note and most of the majors stuck in 50 pts range.  China Yuan fixed at historical high again, but there wasn’t any impact to risk pairs given S&P trading below par most of the time. The worst has been down 1% for the futures, which has led most of the regional stocks off their highs and so are the risk pairs. That said, market lacks the momentum and extremely light flow from customers that we heard to drive the market further down. Swiss, after a horrific night, also settled down in range play, but traders still afraid to show any offer price in size with the anticipated new measures from SNB to fend off further Swiss appreciation.

Elsewhere Gold pared early losses and closes at 1767 and Crude oil trading at 85.

DJ USDCNY FIXED JUST 19 PIPS LOWER  6.3972 VS THURSDAY PARITY 6.3991

DJ CHINA WILL LET YUAN RISE FURTHER – REPORT

2) Orderbook and Flow

EURUSD bids below remains around the 1.4050 level.

USDJPY stops below are collecting 76.00-20.

Despite the move in CHF, there are few bids below in USDCHF or EURCHF.

FLOWS
USDCNY SELLERS STILL EVIDENT IN THE MACRO SPACE
but mixed and light flows  in the other asian pairings

AUD SELLERS A SMALL STANDOUT too.

3) USD/Asia Run

USDKRW   1082.5 (Thursday morning mids 1086.0)
USDINR   45.45  (45.46)
USDPHP   42.53  (42.46)
USDCNY1y 6.2775 (6.3020)
USDIDR   8575   (8575)
USDMYR   3.0025 (3.0145)
USDTWD   28.85  (28.88)
USDSGD   1.2135 (1.2140)

4) Some Key Opening Levels

EUR               1.4199
GBP               1.6201
JPY               76.77
CHF               0.7578

WTI               84.8
Brent             107.5
XAU               1764.3
Silver            38.76

X-Over            655
Greece            1771
Porutgal          876
Ireland           788
Spain             369
Italy             368

UK 10y            2.54
Ger 10y           2.31
US 10y            2.28
Bund              133.30

Spain over bunds  264
Italy over bunds  268
BeBanks Index     78.74

3m Eur Xccy       -86.0

 

HSBC Global Research