FX Technical Volume Strategy: Volume spike warns of a USD/CAD top

– Volumes picked up on Tuesday to reach median levels for the past year.

– USD/CAD failed to sustain a move to new highs and the resulting Doji candle along with the highest volume seen so far in H2 suggests that investors were selling into the uptick. Risk is that a top is being formed below parity.

– The narrow trading range and low close in USD/JPY was accompanied with high volume. This suggests that the market was overstretched on the upside range break and signals consolidation before resuming higher.

– The volume increase in EUR/USD on yesterday’s downside break signals further weakness within range.

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Barclays Capital