Monthly Archives: June 2011
Macrobullets – Thursday
Greek police clashed with protesters outside parliament in the early hours of Thursday ahead of a vote expected to approve a final austerity bill needed to secure international aid and avert a debt default. The government of PM Papandreou, which won a first vote on Wednesday by 155 to 138 votes, expects to pass the […]
European FX Daily – Transition from cutting hedges to risk rally
– NZD leads rally vs USD, Asian equities up 0.4-1.6% – Greek parliament to vote on implementation law at 2pm London time – Focus on regional Fed surveys ahead of US ISM tomorrow
FX Daily Strategy Asia – Thursday June 30
Commodity/risk currencies outshine EUR-positive impact of Greek Budget vote. Still plenty of event risk ahead, but AUD and CAD can go better if no big hiccups, EURCHF also seen higher.
Global Technical Watch – Quick Charts (Jun 30)
With the end of QE2, month-end and quarter-end approaching, the selling and break lower in US Treasuries highlighted earlier this week have catalysed a change in behaviour across several assets.
Technical Analysis – FX Daily Majors
Today’s highlights: · EUR/USD: Mini-base secured through 1.4422, but above key “triangle” resistance at 1.4537 needed for a more bullish signal and better recovery
EUR$ traders thoughts post vote
STUART SCOTT : EURO Thoughts – A key short term trend indicator that has become a bit of a favourite is the 4 vs 12 DMA … We are very close to crossing over in EURUSD which would suggest that a short term bullish trend will ensue .. However my not unsubstantial gut tells […]
UniCredit EEMEA Daily – June 29
RO: Positive – Unemployment rate drops further to 5% at end-May (p2) Today’s Events HU: May Unemployment / KZ: 1Q GDP, KZT 13bn floating rate 2020 GB auction / LN: Consumer confidence / PL: 1Q C/A / RO: Policy Rate announcement / SRB: 53W RSD 20bn t-bill issue / RU: RUB 20bn 2015 and RUB […]
HK Overnight Wrap, Orderbook & Flow and USD/Asia run
HK Overnight Wrap Very quiet Asian session as the market seemed to have been chopped out of most short term positions overnight and now sitting tight and waiting for the headlines and voting to start from Greece.
Technical Analysis: Technical Alert – June 29
Slightly better risk appetite and a waiting game. EURUSD 1.44/45 key resistance zone to cap for now, EURGBP clearly a bullish close yesterday with no topside spike seen, EURSEK remains bid and should soon try the 9.29 key resistance whereas EURNOK turned lower ahead of the 7.85 resistance and should thus be in the process […]
UK MPC’s Tucker pushes against more QE
BoE deputy governor and MPC member Paul Tucker confirmed today that he is at the hawkish end of the no-change camp on the committee. Giving testimony to the Treasury Committee, Mr Tucker said he did not want the impression to be taken that the MPC was drifting uniformly in the direction of increasing the amount […]
HSBC: Currencies: Technical Analysis: USD bull momentum building
The breakdown in Cable, the break up in USD-TRY and the continued wave structure in EUR-USD all point to a continuing USD rally. As long as 1.4442 holds as resistance in EUR-USD the immediate focus should be on the downside. The March lows in stock markets remain the key pivot point.
FX DAILY STRATEGIST: Europe – 28 June 2011
FX to remain highly skittish/low flow ahead of Wednesday EURUSD and EURCHF downsides look the more vulnerable barring clear signs Greek Budget will pass USDJPY topside resistance above Y81.00 could be reinforced by strong IP data Wednesday.
